NHL · resolved market
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4402736dd4b854aa8bc3140185bb9f090f18b292b94cc4f06147b7f31d710f9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked Yes | 70c | 1,424$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…8807backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 21c | 652.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.68 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 30c | 615.33$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 36c | 442.94$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.26 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 25c | 417$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes | 62c | 405.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 76c | 286.33$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.09 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 66c | 281.66$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…218ebacked No | 25c | 274.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 80c | 267.9$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 244.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Yes | 69c | 180.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…fdd3backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 43c | 149.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed No | 21c | 148$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 66c | 100.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…efb8backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…11d8backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +225.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87b7…f533backed No | 13c | 95.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +183.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Yes | 57c | 87.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…8525backed No | 17c | 82.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 34c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 21c | 73.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 32c | 70.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 53c | 67.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 31c | 65.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 22c | 64.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 20c | 51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 70c | 45.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…f3ccbacked No | 24c | 42.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes | 54c | 36.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 73c | 36.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 40c | 30.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 75c | 15.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?this page
- Will Dan Muse win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?No won
- Will Jared Bednar win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?No won
- Will Jon Cooper win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?Yes won
- Will Martin St Louis win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?No won
- Will Rick Tocchet win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?No won
- Will Ryan Warsofsky win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.