Us Midterms · resolved market
Senate control after 2024 election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda60399dab4f9cb4dc21b8a7e46fc3e9a141e8da6a238258fff293a16eee7ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Republicansof Democrats, Republicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,436,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,657,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,436,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 574 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdabe…bd89backed Democrats | 26c | 249,779$65,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,072.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Republicans | 79c | 180,720$143,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,165.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Democrats | 23c | 175,778$40,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,156.4 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Republicans | 74c | 166,612$123,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,058.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Republicans | 72c | 149,869$107,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,169.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…0ec1backed Republicans | 78c | 112,293$87,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,252.75 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Republicans | 79c | 83,411$65,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,440.86 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9eb7backed Democrats | 28c | 71,873$19,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,902.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221b…a4fabacked Democrats | 25c | 61,949$15,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,568 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…3688backed Democrats | 18c | 61,571$10,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,967.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…47e1backed Republicans | 73c | 54,209$39,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,601.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Democrats | 27c | 51,425$13,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,783.2 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Republicans | 79c | 46,514$36,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,682.32 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Democrats | 17c | 40,962$6,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,963.48 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…1482backed Democrats | 28c | 40,321$11,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,481.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…01c0backed Democrats | 19c | 31,057$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…27a0backed Democrats | 17c | 29,604$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…a71dbacked Republicans | 80c | 26,216$20,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,334.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked Republicans | 74c | 24,000$17,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Democrats | 28c | 23,456$6,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550.52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Democrats | 29c | 22,339$6,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,378.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Democrats | 23c | 22,317$5,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,212.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Democrats | 29c | 22,048$6,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,393.82 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…7312backed Democrats | 18c | 20,833$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…6d88backed Democrats | 20c | 19,907$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Republicans | 80c | 17,175$13,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.51 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…9113backed Democrats | 19c | 16,259$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Republicans | 73c | 15,979$11,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,274.83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Republicans | 74c | 13,435$9,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Republicans | 75c | 13,076$9,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Democrats | 20c | 13,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Democrats | 26c | 12,814$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.56 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Republicans | 75c | 11,900$8,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…bfc5backed Democrats | 24c | 11,062$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.66 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Democrats | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da1…7086backed Republicans | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…8553backed Republicans | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ed…1503backed Democrats | 29c | 9,780$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…923bbacked Democrats | 19c | 9,476$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked Republicans | 74c | 9,351$6,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…f6b2backed Democrats | 0c | 8,885$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Democrats | 1c | 8,764$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f9b5backed Democrats | 30c | 8,738$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d1…1a60backed Democrats | 27c | 8,532$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…5c9fbacked Democrats | 19c | 8,389$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeab…3516backed Democrats | 18c | 8,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Republicans | 70c | 7,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x573f…00c8backed Republicans | 75c | 7,400$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Republicans | 77c | 7,126$5,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.69 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Democrats | 26c | 7,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…1a28backed Democrats | 0c | 6,652$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Republicans | 75c | 6,501$4,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Republicans | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…1152backed Democrats | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Democrats | 23c | 6,157$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.81 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…bc1ebacked Republicans | 73c | 6,002$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Democrats | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…f360backed Republicans | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a9…0b5abacked Republicans | 80c | 5,750$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…796dbacked Democrats | 0c | 5,491$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…34c8backed Republicans | 73c | 5,477$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…c43cbacked Democrats | 0c | 5,471$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed Republicans | 72c | 5,394$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.43 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 39cpaid | +227.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…3701backed Democrats | 0c | 5,190$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…e05fbacked Democrats | 19c | 5,100$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed Republicans | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…f95fbacked Republicans | 71c | 5,000$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Democrats | 26c | 4,809$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…8184backed Republicans | 79c | 4,720$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…cb43backed Republicans | 79c | 4,624$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Democrats | 28c | 4,589$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…250ebacked Democrats | 0c | 4,400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…8523backed Democrats | 25c | 4,400$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…66a8backed Democrats | 0c | 4,275$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1cd8backed Democrats | 27c | 4,105$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Republicans | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked Republicans | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…1334backed Republicans | 80c | 3,749$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…9df8backed Democrats | 31c | 3,740$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.53 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…cbcabacked Democrats | 0c | 3,694$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8321…d42bbacked Republicans | 80c | 3,571$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…53c9backed Democrats | 29c | 3,511$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Republicans | 72c | 3,197$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Republicans | 77c | 3,062$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.61 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Republicans | 79c | 3,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…5208backed Republicans | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…c6febacked Republicans | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Democrats | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…6d1dbacked Democrats | 4c | 2,883$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Republicans | 76c | 2,870$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.71 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Democrats | 27c | 2,753$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…06d2backed Democrats | 28c | 2,679$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Republicans | 76c | 2,650$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…083fbacked Democrats | 0c | 2,650$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Republicans | 74c | 2,647$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.13 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Republicans | 80c | 2,469$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.08 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed Republicans | 73c | 2,434$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Democrats | 29c | 2,257$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Democrats | 29c | 2,200$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…6565backed Democrats | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.