NHL · resolved market
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcca00a38f0f18a736c18f8119e1baf040be49ebf7340fdd43f95397e679fb8a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 72c | 1,422$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.41 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 43c | 765.1$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.04 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 76c | 631.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…163fbacked No | 25c | 566.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 57c | 499.44$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.23 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 446.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 72c | 428.88$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…63f8backed Yes | 74c | 406.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed No | 27c | 377.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked No | 26c | 353.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 64c | 341.67$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.92 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…7c3fbacked Yes | 15c | 305.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.91 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 66c | 281.93$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 44c | 210.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 71c | 187.15$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…e298backed No | 30c | 169.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 168.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 12c | 127.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…dff3backed No | 43c | 126.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 14c | 119.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…efb8backed Yes | 66c | 105.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…3d29backed Yes | 78c | 101.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…264ebacked No | 16c | 94.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 18c | 92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 28c | 83.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 44c | 83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 19c | 81.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…2b47backed Yes | 25c | 79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 71c | 77.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d29…3644backed Yes | 20c | 73.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…7cd9backed Yes | 67c | 71.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…f3ccbacked No | 21c | 66.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed No | 39c | 63.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…5f59backed Yes | 53c | 56.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 61c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 43c | 48.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 65c | 44.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 25c | 40.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7848…5f80backed Yes | 40c | 28.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 55c | 28.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 48c | 26.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…a918backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Yes | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 80c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?this page
- Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Jaccob Slavin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Lane Hutson win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Quinn Hughes win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Rasmus Dahlin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Victor Hedman win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.