TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,342 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x41c7…b8debacked No56c1,823$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0783…2c9bbacked No56c1,818$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a85…98a3backed No56c1,805$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2f1…69cdbacked No56c1,796$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11b9…8f3fbacked No56c1,731$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9294…fa48backed No56c1,723$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c4…7c8ebacked No56c1,708$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…ec51backed No56c1,707$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc0…95a5backed No56c1,690$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e9c…d634backed No56c1,688$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7575…d703backed No57c1,521$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204c…e69ebacked No57c1,484$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5729…4c51backed No57c777.17$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581a…ff50backed No57c766.11$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae69…9e31backed No57c758.39$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc90d…c8e8backed No57c756.78$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa31b…923bbacked No57c752.76$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2940…d265backed No57c733.51$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes47c638.42$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4120137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8ab1…8807backed Yes63c638.2$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes6c621.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3617227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes5c609.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.49935.4%35 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No40c587.48$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.6841850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…fcbebacked No57c585.87$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9b…b486backed No57c578.85$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c0…88e0backed No57c566.66$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb724…0617backed No57c564.32$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd1d…ef02backed No57c562.68$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0993…d934backed No57c556.59$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No47c468$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2711547%54 W · 61 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9726…2eafbacked No57c386.88$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2df6…7a74backed No58c386.32$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a3…0c95backed No58c385.22$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee2a…80d4backed No57c385.22$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa4…4130backed No57c384.34$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a3…2acdbacked No57c383.45$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f4…e62cbacked No58c381.67$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf4…00b2backed No58c380.53$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3097…bb91backed No58c380.53$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea8…2820backed No57c380.11$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2062…cd58backed No58c379.88$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ee…7529backed No58c379.62$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb9…ff36backed No57c379.44$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe336…ef55backed No58c378.61$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a6…59debacked No57c377.97$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc85…d84cbacked No57c376.41$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x185a…4bbbbacked No57c375.81$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1535…9672backed No57c375.68$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5406…b1cdbacked No57c374.96$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9c…38ffbacked No58c374.52$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd59…f421backed No58c374.19$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2f…d7f6backed No57c373.27$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x235e…ee03backed No58c371.01$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1553…3dffbacked No58c364.52$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe091…163fbacked Yes13c311.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe78f…218ebacked Yes6c301.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.981520%3 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ad…2289backed Yes47c300.26$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No57c289.59$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.283348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc32…3106backed Yes47c285.06$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe656…1f4ebacked Yes47c276.22$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes23c260.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9822516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d2…50febacked Yes47c258.71$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes15c256.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0812438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes6c242.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b82…7a36backed Yes42c229.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.061816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-69.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd349…63f8backed Yes50c219.93$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.951560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac2…b483backed Yes7c219.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c30…9c2cbacked Yes14c214.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9403…6bbcbacked No55c208.24$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafa5…df15backed No55c205.51$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c7b…ff59backed No57c202.15$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f70…557dbacked No57c199.19$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e2…2c78backed No57c198.72$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…739abacked No57c198.71$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9932…a9bfbacked No55c198.28$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6806…126dbacked No55c197.07$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf1e…8ddbbacked No56c196.72$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5491…6e70backed No55c196.3$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3b…d9ddbacked No56c195.83$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e88…d530backed No55c195.5$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a4…4bd6backed No55c195.15$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ea…2d16backed No56c194.82$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…3bd6backed No56c194.29$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cda…0ef0backed No57c193.92$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6652…7280backed No58c192.81$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1879…df34backed No55c192.15$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb304…b420backed No57c191.78$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…ce77backed No55c190.96$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaec…351cbacked No55c190.67$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd2c…7fe6backed No55c190.63$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cff…fb69backed No58c190.63$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0d…4498backed No58c190.35$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bcc…35a5backed No58c190.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x031e…560dbacked No56c190.01$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c5…71a0backed No58c189.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa055…4487backed No56c189.88$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x406b…48bbbacked No56c189.8$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a34…5a96backed No56c189.79$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…d94dbacked No56c189.78$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc453…ab41backed No56c189.74$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.