NHL · resolved market
Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078924cbb29e8e8522b833c795e493bc2c20ae1ad3a8c6f4d3af3d021c430599
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 79c | 1,253$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.91 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes | 39c | 833.77$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed Yes | 16c | 797.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…f3ccbacked Yes | 7c | 545.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes | 20c | 419.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…d489backed Yes | 24c | 410.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Yes | 21c | 306.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…218ebacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 78c | 198.38$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…988dbacked Yes | 13c | 192.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 8c | 190.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef91…5146backed Yes | 16c | 156.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…fbe5backed Yes | 16c | 156.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271a…ef56backed Yes | 16c | 154.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373e…24e3backed Yes | 16c | 154.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…cc3dbacked Yes | 16c | 153.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…e33dbacked Yes | 16c | 152.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…ad31backed Yes | 21c | 152.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7a…73ddbacked Yes | 16c | 152.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…d355backed Yes | 16c | 152.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f05…34cfbacked Yes | 16c | 151.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 13c | 144.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 138.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…abd5backed Yes | 9c | 136.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17dc…aff8backed Yes | 8c | 120.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…b18dbacked Yes | 17c | 118.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe754…20d1backed Yes | 15c | 110.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…7e0abacked Yes | 22c | 102.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…f646backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…efb8backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…c4e7backed Yes | 26c | 95.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…e7f1backed Yes | 22c | 90.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…5f59backed Yes | 16c | 88.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 61c | 75.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 19c | 64.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed No | 73c | 47.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…5efabacked Yes | 27c | 46.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…446bbacked Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 75c | 27.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?this page
- Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Jaccob Slavin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Lane Hutson win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Quinn Hughes win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Rasmus Dahlin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Victor Hedman win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.