WNBA · resolved market
Will the New York Liberty win the 2025 WNBA Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6b2bad5861a89136c3be8c8d587d35a56fe4812a08056ab0a3a74ff90cd3bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x440d…ceaabacked Yes | 41c | 37,567$15,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,402.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…4b7ebacked No | 59c | 37,567$22,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,402.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 2c | 11,111$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 39c | 5,863$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 37c | 4,510$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.54 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc9…2b7ebacked Yes | 37c | 4,391$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 62c | 3,571$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 3,193$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 43c | 2,228$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 65c | 2,007$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.18 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 42c | 1,315$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 60c | 400$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked No | 63c | 398.67$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 52c | 318.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…e6b0backed Yes | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 69c | 298.55$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 60c | 246.17$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 217.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 51c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 65c | 169.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 47c | 72.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…a888backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…dfbdbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…2c81backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…ba7bbacked No | 60c | 35.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 62c | 32.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae67…faf1backed Yes | 38c | 32.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…072ebacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…a516backed Yes | 44c | 25.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New York Liberty win the 2025 WNBA Championship?this page
- Will the Atlanta Dream win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Chicago Sky win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Connecticut Sun win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Dallas Wings win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Golden State Valkyries win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Indiana Fever win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Aces win the 2025 WNBA Championship?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Sparks win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Phoenix Mercury win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Seattle Storm win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Washington Mystics win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.