WNBA · resolved market
Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2025 WNBA Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a98681a3e35419a63077791c5b7153e4e2c39441305424dadae923d053061fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ec8…5709backed Yes | 44c | 15,402$6,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,789.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Yes | 28c | 5,045$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 55c | 4,002$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 5c | 3,194$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 61c | 2,658$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 40c | 2,390$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Yes | 61c | 2,013$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 72c | 1,920$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.34 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 65c | 1,830$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 35c | 1,800$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…e6b0backed Yes | 44c | 1,750$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 33c | 1,700$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.6 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 75c | 1,450$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.5 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 37c | 877$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +466.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 24c | 685.64$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 42c | 678.23$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 65c | 631$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 6c | 629.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 6cpaid | +788.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…fb43backed Yes | 36c | 608.89$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234f…b5bebacked No | 42c | 595.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes | 29c | 540.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +803.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 25c | 517.94$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 30c | 513.89$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 30c | 422.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 55c | 419$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 25c | 370$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 27c | 366.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 22c | 299.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 289$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 31c | 280$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 19c | 200.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…0b8fbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 199.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e2…bb8dbacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +787.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 69c | 114.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929f…def4backed Yes | 59c | 110.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bb…81bcbacked Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked No | 23c | 81.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…5164backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…b607backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 22c | 60.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…48b2backed No | 56c | 45.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Yes | 50c | 44.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…a516backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…7853backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2025 WNBA Championship?this page
- Will the Atlanta Dream win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Chicago Sky win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Connecticut Sun win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Dallas Wings win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Golden State Valkyries win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Indiana Fever win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Aces win the 2025 WNBA Championship?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Sparks win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the New York Liberty win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Phoenix Mercury win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Seattle Storm win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
- Will the Washington Mystics win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.