NFL · resolved market
Polymarket Parlay - NFL Week 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05f3f2d1d6dbc59cc61a6b2a8976a1a635ac496c5101fd38af801560c6ab5638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0997…c238backed Yes | 37c | 8,409$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 65c | 5,512$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.41 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 64c | 5,100$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 35c | 4,993$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.35 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Yes | 33c | 3,036$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 68c | 1,866$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.27 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,818$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.62 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Yes | 27c | 1,711$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.19 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 18c | 1,305$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.15 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 63c | 1,000$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.25 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 71c | 959.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…d5c5backed No | 76c | 921.1$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 27c | 734.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 62c | 575$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed No | 70c | 520$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.4 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88dd…5767backed Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…f9d5backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 39c | 399.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa673…090abacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed No | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 68c | 275.42$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 265.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 36c | 243.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 64c | 230$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8259…bd18backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 62c | 221.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 34c | 216.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 71c | 207.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 29c | 186.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 62c | 180.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…e69cbacked Yes | 29c | 167.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 64c | 165.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 73c | 162.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed No | 62c | 143.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 27c | 140.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed Yes | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed No | 78c | 120.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 57c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 26c | 115.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 40c | 115$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed No | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 39c | 101.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…e8aabacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…47ccbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…4b5fbacked No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 69c | 90.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 66c | 72.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534f…616abacked No | 62c | 69.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…ba78backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…1332backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6e…d36abacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…0213backed Yes | 28c | 49.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed No | 61c | 41.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb565…6f4fbacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Yes | 46c | 32.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 54c | 32.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…2526backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…fd90backed No | 62c | 25.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…f310backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…aa28backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…4d9cbacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed No | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.