Ukraine · resolved market
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x037f0d4493a455779744fbb8154f729462cef4f3d6f28fe4f95ddfbc6559f5fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,109,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,535,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,109,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb75…0252backed No | 10c | 285,017$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,499.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 2c | 156,578$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.32 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…8f86backed No | 22c | 100,000$22,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,279.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -84%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…7180backed No | 27c | 47,430$12,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,970.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed No | 16c | 33,526$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 77c | 29,694$22,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,887.38 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed No | 8c | 28,859$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.86 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…665bbacked No | 17c | 26,620$4,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,476.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…95b1backed No | 17c | 22,230$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…515dbacked No | 15c | 20,000$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 77c | 18,555$14,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.64 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 79c | 18,433$14,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.69 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…2480backed Yes | 70c | 14,861$10,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 24c | 12,665$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.75 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 75c | 12,204$9,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 14c | 12,160$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…6cecbacked No | 19c | 12,055$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…28ccbacked Yes | 78c | 11,978$9,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…2b04backed No | 21c | 11,442$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…14bbbacked No | 19c | 10,883$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8caf…ef24backed No | 3c | 10,752$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…7ca8backed No | 26c | 10,624$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…8ac8backed Yes | 79c | 10,491$8,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…543abacked No | 18c | 10,408$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 79c | 10,113$7,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Yes | 80c | 10,088$8,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 74c | 9,700$7,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.72 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Yes | 80c | 9,344$7,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed No | 42c | 9,164$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…4e43backed No | 14c | 8,959$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…12d1backed No | 22c | 8,813$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 1c | 8,293$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 22c | 8,000$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 6c | 8,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 14c | 7,830$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.36 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 15c | 7,150$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.32 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafc…d16fbacked No | 21c | 7,043$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 13c | 7,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe8…0212backed No | 10c | 6,947$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28df…4843backed No | 9c | 6,897$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 16c | 6,462$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.63 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed No | 64c | 6,325$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Yes | 75c | 5,852$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Yes | 69c | 5,747$3,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…33c1backed No | 36c | 5,680$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Yes | 61c | 5,624$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.96 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 18c | 5,564$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 19c | 5,551$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.07 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…fa3dbacked No | 17c | 5,238$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed Yes | 44c | 5,120$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 68c | 5,120$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.54 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0e…12a0backed No | 2c | 4,998$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…df07backed No | 18c | 4,739$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 3c | 4,422$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…cf97backed Yes | 77c | 4,407$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff98…908ebacked Yes | 69c | 4,345$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…3c34backed No | 6c | 4,299$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…d4efbacked Yes | 76c | 4,283$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.01 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…77e0backed No | 7c | 4,251$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1d…fadcbacked No | 24c | 4,197$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…7b53backed Yes | 78c | 4,014$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…c6aebacked No | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…42dfbacked No | 18c | 3,721$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556d…f658backed No | 2c | 3,667$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…bc6bbacked No | 10c | 3,498$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.01 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked No | 37c | 3,485$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.36 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed No | 11c | 3,362$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.19 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fd83backed No | 45c | 3,354$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…73eebacked No | 22c | 3,267$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +250.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Yes | 42c | 3,180$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 55c | 3,158$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.43 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 15c | 3,149$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.29 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed No | 4c | 3,050$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 14c | 2,978$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 67c | 2,962$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e0…c8babacked No | 34c | 2,925$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540b…e4e7backed No | 25c | 2,876$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31c…c1c3backed No | 7c | 2,771$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 22c | 2,754$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.46 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…4e8cbacked No | 17c | 2,665$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…8e2bbacked No | 9c | 2,643$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…f302backed No | 6c | 2,610$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…17fbbacked No | 21c | 2,440$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…4ec4backed No | 8c | 2,439$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed No | 6c | 2,420$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd72b…8f82backed No | 10c | 2,280$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…5c9fbacked No | 3c | 2,247$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…5eb9backed No | 9c | 2,141$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…5507backed No | 17c | 2,114$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…d5b2backed No | 12c | 2,100$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed No | 25c | 2,073$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…df0dbacked No | 15c | 1,942$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…eb52backed No | 53c | 1,869$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba1…6c3fbacked No | 54c | 1,860$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…b7fbbacked No | 6c | 1,833$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d72…cca4backed Yes | 73c | 1,750$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…a510backed No | 26c | 1,715$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 79c | 1,613$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…f6bbbacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.