Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83ef4a16f2efdd4b269d1eeeaa2c5b53d62c1691875cefe24ab2409ee48de0df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $760,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 1c | 49,798$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.99 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…47e1backed Yes | 23c | 41,582$9,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,725.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 2c | 34,402$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 0c | 19,909$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 1c | 16,927$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…8468backed Yes | 4c | 15,902$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 14,545$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…efe7backed Yes | 1c | 12,020$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…600bbacked Yes | 1c | 11,836$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 5c | 10,400$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.81 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3933…3e64backed Yes | 1c | 9,151$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 0c | 9,096$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 1c | 8,123$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 29c | 7,116$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…2b67backed Yes | 1c | 6,007$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 6c | 5,942$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.05 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Yes | 3c | 5,344$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…2a32backed Yes | 2c | 5,129$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…22aebacked Yes | 4c | 5,002$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 4,859$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 4,648$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…e6bfbacked Yes | 1c | 4,434$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 2c | 4,396$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 7c | 4,280$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.1 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 75c | 3,979$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…fc24backed Yes | 3c | 3,938$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98e…fa1cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,788$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked Yes | 31c | 3,733$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad6…464cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,270$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 28c | 2,936$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.36 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed No | 67c | 2,888$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 21c | 2,850$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.5 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…a9febacked Yes | 1c | 2,778$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed Yes | 4c | 2,403$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…5178backed Yes | 2c | 2,216$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 26c | 2,212$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.63 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…766fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,700$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffed…f5dcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,595$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…6232backed Yes | 27c | 1,565$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…515dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…237abacked Yes | 1c | 1,498$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…f2b2backed Yes | 3c | 1,498$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 26c | 1,308$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.96 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…4949backed No | 78c | 1,250$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…6cfdbacked No | 24c | 1,124$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +355%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…403fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 76c | 1,088$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.38 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…af98backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…8c3fbacked Yes | 10c | 999.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…e931backed Yes | 29c | 719.51$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f0…9640backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…0db1backed Yes | 25c | 640$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed Yes | 8c | 636.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…2ea9backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 29c | 577.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…e166backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…175abacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 11c | 500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…3f7abacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…5bc2backed Yes | 25c | 420$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…58d6backed Yes | 27c | 404.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa773…3ee3backed Yes | 10c | 401$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…d3e4backed Yes | 10c | 365.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked No | 70c | 361$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…3a51backed Yes | 5c | 357.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…0159backed No | 74c | 316$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +78%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeead…f1bfbacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +203%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked No | 73c | 230$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Yes | 24c | 210.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 72c | 209.62$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a6a5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +228.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…41aabacked Yes | 26c | 194.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes | 29c | 191.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 77c | 187$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…0349backed Yes | 25c | 181$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31e…3e6cbacked Yes | 28c | 123.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…fe65backed No | 77c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9099backed Yes | 10c | 102.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…8deebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…c9d8backed Yes | 26c | 96.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…fb45backed No | 73c | 89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…191fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…9732backed Yes | 24c | 82.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acd…0475backed Yes | 27c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…fa95backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…0b70backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9b…7febbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…d8d5backed Yes | 26c | 43.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?this page
- Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 50 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?Yes won
- Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.