Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea080bb58bfcd23b6b140b6d032d998ea2658c473cc6135f602361767d984ccf

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 21, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,537,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $277,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,537,160 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0d33…8249backed Yes	0c	69,574$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5fa0backed Yes	0c	69,574$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6f3…752ebacked Yes	0c	69,569$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8714…4750backed Yes	8c	32,469$2,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,702.35	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a45…4a71backed Yes	11c	23,485$2,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,475.85	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa08…e8c1backed Yes	0c	22,587$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f81…f028backed Yes	0c	22,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59fa…ef6fbacked Yes	0c	21,500$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b78…ca3bbacked Yes	0c	21,499$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb99…c827backed Yes	0c	21,444$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0024…b0ccbacked Yes	0c	21,255$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf36f…e960backed Yes	0c	21,254$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d71…4018backed Yes	0c	21,244$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb49b…2f8abacked Yes	0c	21,203$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf89b…1296backed Yes	0c	21,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5c…3df3backed Yes	0c	21,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d6d…28a4backed Yes	0c	20,945$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa372…e030backed Yes	0c	20,884$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff8…b71bbacked Yes	0c	20,777$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62e2…3c95backed Yes	0c	20,673$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…cc6fbacked Yes	0c	20,653$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdada…abd3backed Yes	0c	20,613$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37ed…c9ecbacked Yes	0c	20,493$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a07…313fbacked Yes	0c	20,466$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe17…bb09backed Yes	0c	20,364$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c81…cc8ebacked Yes	0c	20,358$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976e…f7c7backed Yes	0c	20,222$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc40d…c629backed Yes	0c	20,111$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae2d…f678backed Yes	0c	20,111$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda32…80c5backed Yes	0c	20,004$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x761e…1d42backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8f…6c72backed Yes	0c	19,999$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x188a…83e8backed Yes	0c	19,984$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21cc…c471backed Yes	0c	19,714$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4515…e64dbacked Yes	0c	19,555$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83ed…c74cbacked Yes	0c	19,524$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5fe…17a1backed Yes	0c	19,245$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf20c…85bcbacked Yes	0c	18,900$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4044…b7ebbacked Yes	0c	18,864$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc4…9aa8backed Yes	0c	18,443$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…8cb0backed Yes	0c	18,373$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac9…756dbacked Yes	0c	18,043$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa3d…4c3fbacked Yes	0c	17,933$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc2…7692backed Yes	0c	17,683$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x911a…96eebacked Yes	0c	17,653$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd107…136dbacked Yes	0c	17,613$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5506…a075backed Yes	0c	17,593$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15d0…c84abacked Yes	0c	17,334$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff6…8a08backed Yes	0c	17,333$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20c4…40e8backed Yes	0c	17,063$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8000…c4efbacked Yes	0c	16,413$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bdf…42debacked Yes	0c	16,353$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda74…8e5fbacked Yes	0c	15,284$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe37d…bc7abacked Yes	0c	15,104$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1e…2f01backed Yes	0c	14,270$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac0c…619fbacked Yes	0c	10,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	0%0 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb137…66c8backed Yes	12c	6,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…9df8backed Yes	12c	5,916$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.05	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x96cc…db22backed Yes	8c	5,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a2…be38backed Yes	13c	4,738$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.54	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe367…f235backed Yes	7c	4,400$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+89.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd061…d5e4backed Yes	10c	2,859$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.95	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes	10c	2,800$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa074…d030backed Yes	7c	1,918$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdda9…a053backed Yes	8c	1,875$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0135…2d8abacked Yes	8c	1,875$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74d1…1a60backed Yes	6c	1,772$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.32	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbadb…766fbacked Yes	12c	1,671$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.97	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ded…0212backed Yes	7c	1,136$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3f…d57ebacked Yes	6c	1,033$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c1…9b20backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde69…c751backed Yes	8c	681.75$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.54	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…ccdabacked Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc411…caa7backed Yes	7c	553.05$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.71	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	10c	525.47$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.1	341	29.3%100 W · 241 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c98…eef4backed Yes	11c	522.35$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe78f…8917backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcb…7254backed Yes	10c	500$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Yes	8c	499.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…6ba1backed Yes	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3890…2c6ebacked Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x85ad…363abacked Yes	8c	414.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe75d…e1febacked Yes	15c	340.01$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x408f…72aebacked Yes	9c	279.4$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc8…5575backed Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	10c	221.66$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf644…7f87backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-58%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes	13c	183.46$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef68…8affbacked Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4113…88bebacked Yes	7c	171.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58fe…d0e2backed Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3609…95adbacked Yes	8c	162.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fe…704cbacked Yes	14c	157.15$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.43	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd7…cd86backed Yes	7c	150$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cc8…7ebfbacked Yes	11c	127.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x760b…26ecbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b6…10c6backed Yes	16c	121.47$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af9…6886backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?this page
Will Republicans have 50 seats in Senate after election?No won
Will Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?No won
Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?No won
Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?Yes won
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?No won
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?No won
Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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