Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b101c49121dc1f4913b60c29f647802e15af05c10464686594098f3f73f8fce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,267,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,267,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3513…33f6backed Yes | 4c | 54,829$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a4…2e6cbacked Yes | 0c | 53,175$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb60a…3c37backed Yes | 6c | 35,638$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…682bbacked Yes | 8c | 31,490$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b78…ca3bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,556$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…53bdbacked Yes | 0c | 23,503$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…667ebacked Yes | 0c | 23,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf7…3af3backed Yes | 0c | 23,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be9…be53backed Yes | 0c | 23,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f9…8288backed Yes | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 8c | 22,979$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11e…9543backed Yes | 0c | 22,754$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…313fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,523$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6111backed Yes | 0c | 22,323$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712b…162fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c5…2fd4backed Yes | 0c | 22,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…80c5backed Yes | 0c | 22,153$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb99…c827backed Yes | 0c | 22,093$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…a400backed Yes | 0c | 22,044$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ef…863ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…8c3dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6791…50f0backed Yes | 0c | 21,992$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…beedbacked Yes | 0c | 21,953$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d4…7d08backed Yes | 0c | 21,903$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c81…cc8ebacked Yes | 0c | 21,733$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faa…c092backed Yes | 0c | 21,654$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1c73backed Yes | 0c | 21,573$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0453…9eaebacked Yes | 0c | 21,543$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb6…cd7ebacked Yes | 0c | 21,473$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e960backed Yes | 0c | 21,254$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba7…ed24backed Yes | 0c | 21,245$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…a7c9backed Yes | 0c | 20,813$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…53d3backed Yes | 0c | 20,693$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…3c95backed Yes | 0c | 20,673$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…cc6fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,653$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdada…abd3backed Yes | 0c | 20,613$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…c9ecbacked Yes | 0c | 20,493$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9576…0c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,486$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc563…e15abacked Yes | 0c | 20,373$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…96febacked Yes | 0c | 20,263$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…c14fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,213$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…e953backed Yes | 0c | 20,063$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…26c3backed Yes | 0c | 20,033$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1373…b963backed Yes | 0c | 19,805$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…2ea3backed Yes | 0c | 19,773$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ed…c74cbacked Yes | 0c | 19,524$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd887…a839backed Yes | 0c | 19,293$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1671…ee36backed Yes | 0c | 19,034$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…7efcbacked Yes | 0c | 18,963$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf45b…6cdabacked Yes | 0c | 18,932$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…b3dcbacked Yes | 0c | 18,813$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…195cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,793$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 7c | 18,756$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.57 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a35…de80backed Yes | 0c | 18,720$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…a180backed Yes | 0c | 18,553$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…9194backed Yes | 0c | 18,532$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…9aa8backed Yes | 0c | 18,443$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae56…c111backed Yes | 0c | 18,412$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…cfeebacked Yes | 0c | 18,252$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94e…aee0backed Yes | 0c | 18,122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac9…756dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,043$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…d19abacked Yes | 0c | 17,983$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3d…4c3fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,933$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac04…fdcebacked Yes | 0c | 17,752$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…7692backed Yes | 0c | 17,683$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911a…96eebacked Yes | 0c | 17,653$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…136dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,613$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5506…a075backed Yes | 0c | 17,593$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…9ecfbacked Yes | 0c | 17,474$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…d7bebacked Yes | 0c | 17,409$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…8a08backed Yes | 0c | 17,333$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…40e8backed Yes | 0c | 17,063$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…e8d3backed Yes | 0c | 16,783$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…d569backed Yes | 0c | 16,643$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fc…e108backed Yes | 0c | 16,594$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f056backed Yes | 0c | 16,572$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…c4efbacked Yes | 0c | 16,413$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…42debacked Yes | 0c | 16,353$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83e…b298backed Yes | 0c | 16,232$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 6c | 16,172$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.14 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…d862backed Yes | 0c | 15,593$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb372…cc95backed Yes | 0c | 15,483$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…8b72backed Yes | 0c | 14,547$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…5116backed Yes | 0c | 14,162$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3f…e8cabacked Yes | 0c | 13,893$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…5d91backed Yes | 0c | 13,703$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1171backed Yes | 6c | 12,962$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Yes | 29c | 12,713$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d1…5699backed Yes | 0c | 11,805$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc3…d9b0backed Yes | 0c | 11,602$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…47e1backed Yes | 3c | 10,962$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…d082backed Yes | 0c | 10,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9e…87c9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c1…346bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,147$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…27c2backed Yes | 8c | 7,858$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 7c | 5,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 5,487$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.55 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…fcefbacked Yes | 10c | 5,200$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.15 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?this page
- Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 50 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?Yes won
- Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.