Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x170e269fe2091f2092c5c1ddafca0519081a0bafcb0941ae13fbc1addb08d782

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 21, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,046,718
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $876,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,046,718 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x10b3…40d4backed Yes	15c	200,000$29,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,499.99	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	0c	50,600$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.4	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3513…33f6backed Yes	5c	33,661$1,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620.79	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6a…e3b1backed Yes	13c	22,688$2,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,975	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes	6c	19,400$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.55	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72c…1ff1backed Yes	0c	17,955$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81e7…807fbacked Yes	1c	16,371$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed No	76c	14,704$11,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,476.33	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	+6.1wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+20%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52e9…67c3backed Yes	7c	14,384$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.68	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Yes	10c	13,182$1,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,383.67	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f9…ed12backed Yes	1c	12,143$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.71	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1171backed Yes	13c	11,781$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.76	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	4c	11,510$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.41	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	15cpaid	+300.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes	0c	11,250$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8628…27c2backed Yes	19c	10,984$2,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,125	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+41%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	7c	10,460$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.35	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2f…baccbacked Yes	5c	10,128$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.42	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-56%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9623…8cdfbacked Yes	6c	10,000$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.67	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x072a…cee6backed Yes	13c	9,823$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,244.93	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb82…2d99backed No	75c	8,398$6,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,058	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc325…c87fbacked Yes	23c	7,819$1,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,814.01	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fa…a313backed Yes	7c	6,501$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.7	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x61d5…4bccbacked Yes	0c	6,049$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44ed…c6d1backed Yes	14c	5,538$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes	8c	4,807$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	5c	4,537$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.23	341	29.3%100 W · 241 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacd9…3d87backed Yes	17c	4,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x776d…2088backed Yes	5c	3,659$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	14cpaid	+119.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedaa…2f33backed Yes	2c	3,517$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked Yes	11c	3,404$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.39	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d04…bfd6backed Yes	10c	3,204$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	6c	3,124$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.96	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes	0c	3,029$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…4ef5backed No	79c	2,905$2,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.57	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.3wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4558…a2b3backed Yes	12c	2,873$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.48	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d51…36b3backed Yes	15c	2,705$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8f3…3d8abacked Yes	8c	2,637$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+64%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9244…8553backed Yes	13c	2,495$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.31	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Yes	7c	2,307$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.17	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	5c	2,220$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.14	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dd…384abacked Yes	24c	2,101$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes	6c	2,096$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.98	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	12c	1,997$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.4	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes	11c	1,986$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.55	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+63.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…fb45backed Yes	13c	1,949$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.87	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-53%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…a6fabacked Yes	11c	1,869$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3389…96e1backed Yes	1c	1,833$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes	17c	1,777$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.15	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x847d…13d0backed Yes	2c	1,722$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.53	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-86.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e41…f050backed Yes	11c	1,710$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1742…2084backed Yes	8c	1,676$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+62%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9b…ec94backed Yes	12c	1,560$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf84…703cbacked Yes	15c	1,543$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.55	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1088…b813backed Yes	4c	1,510$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.31	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes	5c	1,500$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc97d…732bbacked Yes	10c	1,480$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.75	79	25.3%20 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-45%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016d…12babacked Yes	36c	1,403$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes	8c	1,353$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.72	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8691…28a0backed Yes	45c	1,285$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a25…2fa6backed Yes	25c	1,274$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.92	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…c114backed Yes	6c	1,237$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	14cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc366…a27bbacked Yes	74c	1,142$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	77cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Yes	12c	1,061$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.79	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x579c…d88dbacked Yes	13c	1,054$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2034…8daebacked Yes	17c	1,029$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.09	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc0…6cfdbacked No	20c	1,022$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.82	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.78per pick	22cpaid	+355%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes	30c	1,000$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x08c8…1da2backed Yes	12c	1,000$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a6…3133backed Yes	8c	1,000$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef94…502ebacked Yes	3c	1,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Yes	2c	955$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.22	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	2cpaid	+41%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9513…a6a2backed Yes	14c	937.24$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46b…76febacked Yes	4c	874.69$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.09	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	9cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1e…e41ebacked Yes	5c	842.94$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes	7c	800$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	40	15%6 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x438b…1f72backed Yes	28c	788.53$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c9…7187backed Yes	30c	777.77$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…ccb5backed Yes	5c	754.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.61	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	18cpaid	+87%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbc…88afbacked Yes	40c	752.38$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes	4c	697.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8475…fc3abacked Yes	23c	548.54$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.58	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7826…191fbacked Yes	11c	539.95$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	23cpaid	+137.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba25…aa2cbacked Yes	14c	525$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.65	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904a…6232backed Yes	13c	506.02$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.9	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	23cpaid	+98.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9e…ec5fbacked Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	14cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78ec…2d07backed Yes	9c	500$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.18	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x996b…1e9cbacked Yes	6c	500$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	21cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbb…7cdbbacked Yes	21c	482.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+135.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa145…49e6backed Yes	4c	446.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe358…0de0backed Yes	30c	433$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes	59c	423.97$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…f79dbacked Yes	14c	422.13$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…9201backed Yes	6c	416.4$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa260…3844backed Yes	30c	416.4$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfad4…a210backed Yes	5c	399.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes	13c	385.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bb…4774backed Yes	5c	384.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5239…64a4backed Yes	18c	375$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a9…1afcbacked Yes	13c	350$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x134b…fdb7backed Yes	6c	331.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	30cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?this page
Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?No won
Will Republicans have 50 seats in Senate after election?No won
Will Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?No won
Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?No won
Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?Yes won
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?No won
Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event