Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96261daed8514e7626debfe92b1c7b33d61f065580a2c991b6d6d3fb366b7372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,285,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,639,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,285,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed No | 37c | 200,115$74,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,546 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 70c | 65,212$45,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,720.14 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 10c | 14,377$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,874.27 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 16c | 13,582$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.92 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 49c | 12,499$6,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,314.08 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c63…dff7backed No | 33c | 12,051$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked No | 9c | 10,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.29 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 10,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…5d7fbacked Yes | 69c | 8,216$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…95cebacked Yes | 31c | 8,185$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 80c | 7,974$6,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…2d99backed Yes | 77c | 7,514$5,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 9c | 7,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…8c31backed Yes | 59c | 7,365$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 12c | 7,103$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.37 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 2c | 7,083$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 9c | 6,047$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475.82 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…6689backed Yes | 28c | 5,659$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 0c | 4,219$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 11c | 3,807$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.82 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 3,633$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.81 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…a9febacked No | 2c | 3,253$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…6232backed Yes | 11c | 2,917$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…2f33backed Yes | 11c | 2,836$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 5c | 2,349$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…2088backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…27c2backed Yes | 10c | 2,084$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…3d8abacked Yes | 10c | 2,021$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 8c | 1,994$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.65 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 9c | 1,645$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,400$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.09 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6a…e3b1backed Yes | 9c | 1,400$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 56c | 1,250$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.17 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 10c | 1,221$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c9…7187backed Yes | 27c | 1,191$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…f6fbbacked No | 1c | 1,158$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…1fe9backed No | 1c | 1,060$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…4949backed Yes | 38c | 1,044$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…8c3fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…8468backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 11c | 977.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yes | 11c | 950.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.91 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbb…7cdbbacked Yes | 11c | 943.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…c114backed Yes | 11c | 876.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Yes | 76c | 682.53$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 681.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.98 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +300.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 10c | 619.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.03 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 605.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 12c | 550$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 8c | 537.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.85 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Yes | 16c | 509.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…1e9cbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Yes | 7c | 500$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…7595backed Yes | 67c | 451$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 17c | 444$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.74 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ccb5backed Yes | 9c | 440.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1742…2084backed Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +62%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…e41ebacked Yes | 10c | 410$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…fb45backed Yes | 69c | 401.04$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 25c | 400$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 12c | 400$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…6315backed Yes | 9c | 390.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2fa6backed Yes | 8c | 375$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd7…e3e3backed No | 12c | 373.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf7…7b47backed Yes | 11c | 364.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +78%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…b284backed Yes | 26c | 283.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…f9f7backed Yes | 15c | 265.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +564.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…76febacked No | 6c | 261.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 8c | 255.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…c760backed Yes | 9c | 232.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +481.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…4774backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…191fbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…742dbacked Yes | 12c | 212.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4b…f229backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…0de0backed Yes | 55c | 207$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed Yes | 75c | 200.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa145…49e6backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…2206backed Yes | 9c | 191.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 26cpaid | +333.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e7…0a64backed Yes | 9c | 177.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…a431backed Yes | 69c | 170.41$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 12c | 167$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa773…3ee3backed Yes | 40c | 160.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 73c | 160$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…58d6backed Yes | 13c | 152.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…4393backed Yes | 68c | 150.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…6424backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeead…f1bfbacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +203%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…e2f0backed No | 11c | 143.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba25…aa2cbacked Yes | 16c | 143$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9099backed No | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…668ebacked Yes | 11c | 138.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…2d07backed Yes | 11c | 125$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd80…a8edbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?this page
- Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 50 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?No won
- Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.