Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x825979da04e73c1f0df28132de975b19a53b54faf7e672e822aa10c9031c1201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,780,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,824,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,780,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,007 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed No | 1c | 1,113,858$6,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,317.25 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…363ebacked No | 1c | 786,391$4,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,976 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed No | 1c | 432,612$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.3 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked No | 1c | 412,460$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…a2e5backed No | 1c | 410,467$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0202…7871backed No | 1c | 409,796$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,757.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5227backed No | 1c | 386,665$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed No | 1c | 338,162$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbd…c83abacked No | 1c | 303,454$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287e…72ccbacked No | 1c | 287,309$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…4f1bbacked No | 0c | 277,717$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb38…9e24backed No | 1c | 266,395$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…68abbacked No | 1c | 255,557$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.46 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…740fbacked No | 1c | 255,526$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.23 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ac…a838backed No | 1c | 250,690$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 1c | 239,371$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.47 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…2070backed No | 1c | 238,936$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…37dfbacked No | 0c | 233,511$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 2c | 233,486$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.34 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…e043backed No | 1c | 231,327$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0983…7adbbacked No | 2c | 225,972$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 2c | 207,539$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.78 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…9ed4backed No | 0c | 206,408$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f60…16c7backed No | 0c | 204,100$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004d…b850backed No | 1c | 191,140$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…b118backed No | 3c | 181,796$5,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…549ebacked No | 1c | 171,599$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc9…7f52backed No | 1c | 165,474$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…804dbacked No | 0c | 159,347$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…28e5backed No | 1c | 156,797$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48a…dad5backed No | 1c | 154,525$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…4123backed No | 1c | 144,277$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84c…9b1cbacked No | 0c | 141,838$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…a3f3backed No | 1c | 139,345$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…cd3fbacked No | 1c | 137,961$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed No | 1c | 136,046$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…0ebebacked No | 1c | 135,632$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278a…cd11backed No | 1c | 134,216$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed No | 1c | 129,002$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 1c | 128,337$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.67 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…c8bbbacked No | 1c | 127,114$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…8881backed No | 1c | 125,139$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 3c | 123,289$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.7 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 1c | 117,000$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…5df2backed No | 1c | 114,852$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…5110backed No | 1c | 113,095$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…fad0backed No | 1c | 112,471$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…61e0backed No | 1c | 111,618$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…bf99backed No | 0c | 110,086$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…f48bbacked No | 1c | 109,998$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa971…3a46backed No | 24c | 106,945$25,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,917.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46f…9ab9backed No | 1c | 103,865$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…453fbacked No | 1c | 103,434$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa358…066dbacked No | 0c | 100,083$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e25…814abacked No | 1c | 100,000$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 1c | 100,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…ffc1backed No | 1c | 97,470$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…d55dbacked No | 1c | 97,408$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 1c | 96,499$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.68 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked No | 1c | 95,104$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.92 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2796…4562backed No | 1c | 94,409$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…1567backed No | 1c | 93,956$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…d30fbacked No | 2c | 90,580$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a7b1backed No | 13c | 88,427$11,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,213.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…16acbacked No | 1c | 87,922$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…c354backed No | 2c | 85,882$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc993…fdffbacked No | 0c | 82,769$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…a1a9backed No | 1c | 81,604$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 3c | 80,778$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…78c6backed No | 1c | 76,458$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…c157backed No | 1c | 74,166$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.59 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…e203backed No | 1c | 72,870$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 2c | 72,179$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…f9e6backed No | 1c | 72,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc704…451dbacked No | 1c | 71,585$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…1e9ebacked No | 1c | 71,413$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…86c8backed No | 1c | 70,215$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3246…3d0bbacked No | 1c | 68,737$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb810…b043backed No | 1c | 66,630$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed No | 2c | 66,609$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…fc5cbacked No | 1c | 65,405$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…c9b4backed No | 1c | 64,784$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…be2cbacked No | 1c | 62,810$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…8b9bbacked No | 9c | 61,517$5,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…7e4bbacked No | 2c | 61,096$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe030…8852backed No | 1c | 60,758$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…7682backed No | 1c | 60,472$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34aa…10afbacked No | 1c | 60,337$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ca…bac0backed No | 2c | 59,607$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked No | 3c | 59,128$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.24 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…2c44backed No | 1c | 59,100$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…f2c1backed No | 2c | 58,998$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…1a6fbacked No | 0c | 55,986$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…4521backed No | 2c | 55,833$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.02 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf831…40c6backed No | 1c | 55,086$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked No | 0c | 53,684$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…4fc2backed No | 1c | 53,667$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +195%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…6c8cbacked No | 1c | 53,070$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a4…8e41backed No | 1c | 52,947$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…d4f2backed No | 1c | 51,437$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.