NFL · resolved market
Scorigami in NFL Week 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cf82b57c4fec74f2acd05f55456baeff59795f58a5f539d09fa8784ff9d6753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe395…2a72backed No | 72c | 9,255$6,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,701.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb618…14babacked Yes | 29c | 7,311$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,215.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 73c | 3,802$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.91 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 37c | 3,580$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.88 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed No | 71c | 3,087$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,936$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.25 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,200$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed No | 78c | 1,862$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.73 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…962fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Yes | 27c | 1,443$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed No | 71c | 1,268$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 33c | 777.19$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.42 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…05fbbacked Yes | 28c | 762.63$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 29c | 737.95$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.49 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed No | 71c | 720$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…a022backed No | 68c | 654.19$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…cc90backed No | 71c | 650$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 31c | 638$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.77 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 39c | 600.01$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…1fb6backed Yes | 22c | 500.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 28c | 486.77$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.47 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed No | 70c | 466.84$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 31c | 459.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.25 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 67c | 385.52$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.28 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -12.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…0e21backed Yes | 42c | 346.4$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…d829backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 8c | 262.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +294.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf1…4c73backed No | 71c | 252.49$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Yes | 27c | 222$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6435backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…baf5backed No | 71c | 170$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed No | 71c | 169.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed No | 70c | 148.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 137.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 69c | 126.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x761e…1e8abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…7e9ebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…6b75backed No | 69c | 91.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…cd49backed Yes | 27c | 91.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +477.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked No | 72c | 71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…b1cfbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked No | 77c | 70$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…aa28backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 71c | 51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…f3d5backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…6f80backed No | 71c | 43.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…b660backed No | 77c | 38.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…728dbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…fa1ebacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3c…1613backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dc…b100backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…52d6backed No | 70c | 15.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ef8bbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.