Music · resolved market
Will 'Higher' win Best Country Album?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a7e88ed5a70c8cc43eb2a440f549202baf4e59a30cc694b0c12655783c6de16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cf8…9c30backed Yes | 19c | 316.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 16c | 310.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 15c | 181.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…3fc7backed Yes | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 16c | 159.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…ace9backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…4a73backed Yes | 25c | 126.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 16c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked Yes | 18c | 64.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…487ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 18c | 55.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 76c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Higher' win Best Country Album?this page
- Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Best Country Album?Yes won
- Will 'Deeper Well' win Best Country Album?No won
- Will 'F-1 Trillion' win Best Country Album?No won
- Will 'Whirlwind' win Best Country Album?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.