Music · resolved market
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Best Country Album?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8ca5b9f772f5b462aadada4c02fc37c800594d877d952ffca6acfa4debf4f9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 27c | 3,665$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 37c | 1,500$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 23c | 866.85$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 75c | 800$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…03e0backed Yes | 80c | 670.5$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 25c | 560.21$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 73c | 548.62$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…d499backed Yes | 61c | 478.77$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 29c | 469$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 77c | 450$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 36c | 372.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a1…bb70backed Yes | 78c | 338.42$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 20c | 333.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 77c | 325$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 65c | 316.72$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 61c | 252$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 62c | 250.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 20c | 225.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 220.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 61c | 142$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 75c | 133.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d95…67a7backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 71c | 118.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +104%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 73c | 111$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 55c | 94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17dc…aff8backed Yes | 76c | 85.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ae…e0babacked Yes | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…0b81backed Yes | 61c | 45.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…0f5cbacked Yes | 67c | 41.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 61c | 30.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe40…e393backed Yes | 76c | 30.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked Yes | 74c | 29.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5448…8cd5backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 55c | 25.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…d9d6backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 74c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb0…64c0backed Yes | 70c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Best Country Album?this page
- Will 'Deeper Well' win Best Country Album?No won
- Will 'F-1 Trillion' win Best Country Album?No won
- Will 'Higher' win Best Country Album?No won
- Will 'Whirlwind' win Best Country Album?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.