CS2 · resolved market
Will Natus Vincere win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d1bb8c8a896c19fb743f0d8fc17516bd40bce440ad82c49de762ce86aa737dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 22c | 3,593$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.84 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 80c | 2,754$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 20c | 2,535$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.05 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…0a11backed Yes | 20c | 2,020$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cb…2badbacked Yes | 22c | 2,002$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.44 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…bf3bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,697$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.34 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Yes | 23c | 1,535$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…b907backed Yes | 21c | 1,421$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked Yes | 20c | 1,404$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 1,102$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.7 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…9aedbacked Yes | 35c | 931.24$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed Yes | 14c | 920.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 78c | 880.34$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 17c | 638.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed No | 80c | 556.19$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 9c | 527.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Yes | 18c | 515.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Yes | 16c | 500.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 19c | 444.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…75bfbacked Yes | 22c | 436.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes | 22c | 347.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 13c | 298.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8804…5f52backed Yes | 20c | 295.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Yes | 13c | 295.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…03e2backed Yes | 27c | 295.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc691…389cbacked No | 80c | 289$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Yes | 13c | 285$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ea…d03abacked No | 78c | 276.42$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…9132backed Yes | 23c | 271$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 268.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…4c1fbacked Yes | 19c | 255.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe440…dbbcbacked Yes | 19c | 251.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked No | 80c | 249.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 20c | 247.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…19f5backed Yes | 14c | 245.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Yes | 10c | 238.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 66c | 213.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…984bbacked Yes | 18c | 188.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 10c | 162.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3cd3backed Yes | 12c | 160.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes | 13c | 154.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…fc98backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb490…4e59backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…44c3backed No | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…9ddfbacked Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…eb1dbacked Yes | 20c | 101.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 317 | 59.9%190 W · 127 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 30c | 97.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…3fe9backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 74c | 87.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…22b8backed Yes | 22c | 81.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 77c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 16c | 71.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked No | 79c | 71.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a22…8ce0backed Yes | 25c | 61.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…c0adbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…5ccdbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb09…98cebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked No | 78c | 37.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Natus Vincere win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?this page
- Will Astralis win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?No won
- Will FUT win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?No won
- Will FaZe win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?No won
- Will G2 win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?No won
- Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.