TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$297,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$366,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Under61c127,868$77,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,895.152347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c40,256$18,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,484.656,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over39c32,260$12,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,678.8721853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over39c20,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,2002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over42c14,872$6,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,667.533938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over40c14,689$5,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,833.832,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under1c12,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204914.3%7 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over30c9,999$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.311029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under59c7,027$4,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,145.783633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Under58c6,606$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8005628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.8635652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c4,607$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.494,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Over39c3,866$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.924748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under59c3,084$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.7138649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under61c3,030$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.982646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8308531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under4c2,900$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114492%1 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-86.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under3c2,400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.03543.7%2 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-75.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over69c2,397$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.481735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over43c2,353$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.7427955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over39c2,285$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.1240150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over41c2,009$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.0339156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Over41c1,684$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.533043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Over42c1,336$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.735754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Over41c994.5$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.211553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c836.85$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.382,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over45c722.22$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.225438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under11c640$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.319929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Over73c629.25$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.718365.1%54 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over40c575$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34519826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over45c397.78$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.786241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over39c340$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.41,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Over50c301.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.892850%14 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17721839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over73c286.34$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3115263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Under57c285.75$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Under73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over73c272.6$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.618059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.672948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15017955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.96854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over42c236.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.929551.6%49 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over43c234.65$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.832356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under27c225.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under58c225$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.57642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.228743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12011443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under30c182.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed Over42c178.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.571866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Over43c160.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.472259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over43c159.56$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.758445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over42c155$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.551,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over73c136.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x844b…2580backed Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.144847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under26c127.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7929041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Over43c125.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5816552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over41c123$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d8…1496backed Over41c122.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.437958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Over45c117.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over43c117.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9417745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.287742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Over42c110$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.82441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over41c107.87$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1425949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under55c102.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.410956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over39c102$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.221,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Under11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11320%0 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over28c85.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.711145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Under58c73.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.476350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc61…9d15backed Under56c73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over43c72.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.095058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Over45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9723220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.494654.3%25 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over32c66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe665…eefabacked Over42c65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.41070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over28c62.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.824158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x30dc…9fa0backed Over68c58.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.94955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Over41c58.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.714847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5613951.1%71 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7942862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3523741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Under76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.286953.6%37 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.516245.2%28 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4512647.6%60 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over43c43.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255560%33 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Under57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256149.2%30 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.211955.5%66 W · 53 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.829657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.827758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Over42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.619133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.828359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.