Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa9788ae91c2da8f69a7c31649497ff55416210f3bd08488bcf373e42f796b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 2,877$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.59 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 3c | 2,200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,452$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,004$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.93 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked No | 53c | 187.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 49c | 174$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 49c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 56c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 48c | 72.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 48c | 45.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed No | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Yes | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 52c | 26.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked No | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked No | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed No | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.