Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a1982ce378567432b622cc320ee39f09d3200efbe93e792d2c35f47e0efb427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 9,583$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.81 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 40c | 3,310$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.63 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 2c | 2,300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…0c03backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Over | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…81a2backed Over | 52c | 1,325$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 1,173$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 68c | 1,103$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 68c | 999.55$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 67c | 842$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.86 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Over | 62c | 803.23$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.23 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Over | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 56c | 692.39$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.65 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 73c | 647.29$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.75 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 32c | 217.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 65c | 215.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Under | 37c | 214.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…c7a8backed Over | 72c | 138.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 64c | 113.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83db…1a40backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 34c | 92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Over | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…e1acbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 71c | 73.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 71c | 71.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Over | 69c | 60.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…1a13backed Under | 47c | 50.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…51c6backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 32c | 45.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 67c | 45.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Over | 69c | 44.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Over | 72c | 43.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 41.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 79c | 41.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 32c | 31.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…25f4backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 41c | 27.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Over | 72c | 23.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…5803backed Over | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 70c | 22.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…5013backed Over | 79c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.