Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Maya Joint vs Sofia Kenin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff358cc497266d4fc9db835647584e125fe1ec2be22a9d937ed966e66ca0ba51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jointof Joint, Kenin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Joint | 67c | 4,144$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.49 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Kenin | 46c | 3,659$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.19 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Kenin | 24c | 3,300$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.74 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Kenin | 40c | 3,260$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.22 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Kenin | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Kenin | 44c | 2,729$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.4 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Joint | 53c | 2,377$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.01 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Joint | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Kenin | 48c | 1,913$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Joint | 58c | 1,722$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.29 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Joint | 67c | 1,688$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.93 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joint | 61c | 1,545$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.37 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Joint | 54c | 1,493$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.96 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joint | 75c | 1,127$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Joint | 70c | 1,113$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.9 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kenin | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Joint | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Joint | 66c | 705.84$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.86 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Joint | 54c | 704.25$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.68 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Joint | 73c | 657.48$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Joint | 54c | 572.49$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.62 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Joint | 54c | 570$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Joint | 65c | 546.65$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Joint | 51c | 478.35$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Kenin | 22c | 477$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Joint | 68c | 457.84$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Joint | 51c | 450$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Joint | 46c | 436.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.96 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Kenin | 48c | 415.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Kenin | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Joint | 11c | 300$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Joint | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Kenin | 35c | 266.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Kenin | 46c | 205$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Kenin | 48c | 199$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Kenin | 48c | 185.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Joint | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…8efdbacked Kenin | 43c | 165.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Kenin | 36c | 137.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Kenin | 62c | 135.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Kenin | 29c | 133.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ec6bbacked Joint | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Joint | 53c | 129.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Kenin | 34c | 126.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Joint | 72c | 116.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Kenin | 37c | 108.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Joint | 60c | 104.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kenin | 58c | 101$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kenin | 50c | 100.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Kenin | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Kenin | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Joint | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Joint | 62c | 96.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Joint | 54c | 92.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Kenin | 44c | 80.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Kenin | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kenin | 41c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Kenin | 41c | 66.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Kenin | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d35…8518backed Kenin | 34c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Joint | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Joint | 65c | 44.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kenin | 37c | 40.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Joint | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kenin | 44c | 30.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Kenin | 45c | 30.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Joint | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Kenin | 42c | 26.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kenin | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Joint | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Kenin | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Joint | 71c | 17.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Maya Joint vs Sofia Keninthis page
- Joint vs. Kenin: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Joint vs. Kenin: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Joint (-1.5) vs Kenin (+1.5)Joint won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.