TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Anastasia Potapova vs Emma Raducanu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Potapovaof Potapova, Raducanu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Potapova33c12,323$4,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,213.784148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Potapova32c8,516$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,784.023537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Raducanu66c6,019$3,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,944.181,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Raducanu0c4,069$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.662,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Raducanu68c3,889$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.862,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Raducanu37c3,821$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.062,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Raducanu39c3,383$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.6859151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Potapova32c3,250$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,21037540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Potapova75c2,320$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.72,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Raducanu38c2,253$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.625444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Raducanu30c2,050$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.55457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Potapova60c1,708$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.6611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Raducanu44c1,636$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.631,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Raducanu69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdef9…2d16backed Potapova33c1,300$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8721100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Potapova76c1,207$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.325860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae0…79eebacked Raducanu68c1,016$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Raducanu69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6903669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Raducanu66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66011650.9%59 W · 57 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Raducanu67c739.69$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.841,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Potapova77c646.57$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.248,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Potapova56c556.71$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.72,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Potapova31c499.98$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9912740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raducanu67c475.06$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.391,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Raducanu27c421.5$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7619023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raducanu68c410$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.63,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Raducanu70c407.63$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4210943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Raducanu67c386.09$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.687,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Potapova37c353.03$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.118964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Potapova29c349$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7973048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Potapova30c342.79$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9529636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Potapova33c303.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5258753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Raducanu69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Raducanu70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Raducanu66c265.64$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.452,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Potapova32c216.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1837444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Potapova64c214.54$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.623956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Raducanu69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13829661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Raducanu67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13449142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Potapova30c185.34$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.747146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Potapova76c150.88$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.557,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Raducanu15c150$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.520257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Raducanu70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004276.2%32 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Raducanu70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Raducanu23c134.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.619744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Raducanu72c128$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.881,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Raducanu79c123$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.171,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6587…6e84backed Raducanu69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Potapova30c99.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.664032.5%13 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdc…c974backed Potapova51c92.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.175160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Raducanu70c91.13$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7936464.3%234 W · 130 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e39…ec6bbacked Raducanu37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Raducanu58c78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.928139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Raducanu68c75.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.213847.8%66 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Raducanu68c74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3260240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Potapova30c72.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.53429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Raducanu70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5094060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Raducanu69c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.38853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Raducanu68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3436349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Potapova30c49.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.991,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Raducanu35c48.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6311122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x555c…dc37backed Raducanu70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0d03backed Raducanu70c41.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2916657.8%96 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Raducanu58c39.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9527058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Raducanu69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541846.2%193 W · 225 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Raducanu69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0b…3f2dbacked Raducanu66c35.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raducanu35c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.556,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Potapova32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef51…f58dbacked Potapova32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-61.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Raducanu69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2071857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Raducanu70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dfb…5240backed Raducanu70c28.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5815…ed96backed Raducanu71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…5bbfbacked Raducanu71c28.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.962458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+71.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Raducanu69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.255149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc7…31e1backed Raducanu70c24.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Raducanu59c24.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.288455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Raducanu70c23.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7167836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Potapova67c20.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8513834.1%47 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe759…3648backed Raducanu68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.615551.6%80 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda97…bf89backed Raducanu70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Raducanu70c19.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.481540%6 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Potapova64c17.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.165944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Raducanu68c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.567,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Raducanu68c16.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.363943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Potapova75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.757041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Raducanu72c13.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.042857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.