Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba156fbe57a97600ddca3562a7457a7e61a4bbe7eae533eccaec967f2d0021ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Machacof Machac, Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Machac | 45c | 7,401$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,077.78 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Paul | 60c | 5,437$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.37 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paul | 50c | 4,216$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Machac | 47c | 3,194$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.64 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Machac | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.99 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Machac | 19c | 2,890$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.49 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Machac | 40c | 2,832$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.84 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Machac | 39c | 2,815$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.17 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Paul | 43c | 2,292$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.31 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Machac | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.99 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Machac | 65c | 1,896$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.6 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paul | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Paul | 60c | 1,499$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Machac | 61c | 1,406$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.64 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Paul | 48c | 1,386$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.97 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Paul | 24c | 1,375$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…892cbacked Paul | 61c | 1,287$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed Paul | 60c | 1,103$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Paul | 32c | 1,041$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.11 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Paul | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Machac | 59c | 748.49$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.68 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Paul | 59c | 720.4$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Machac | 44c | 686.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.02 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paul | 47c | 629.36$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.28 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Machac | 56c | 589.9$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…70d3backed Machac | 44c | 508.3$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Machac | 40c | 503.31$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.99 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Paul | 55c | 488.67$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.45 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Paul | 58c | 465.52$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Paul | 52c | 438.79$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.64 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…fc5dbacked Paul | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Machac | 40c | 408.7$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.33 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…4a3cbacked Paul | 61c | 400$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Machac | 14c | 398.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.52 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Paul | 57c | 382.02$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Paul | 60c | 333.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Paul | 50c | 315.52$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.87 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…9291backed Machac | 41c | 312.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Machac | 41c | 304.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Paul | 67c | 290.55$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Machac | 46c | 288.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Paul | 61c | 278.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.33 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Machac | 52c | 277.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Machac | 41c | 268.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Paul | 55c | 259.6$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Machac | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Machac | 41c | 245.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…cf12backed Machac | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Paul | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…09b9backed Paul | 25c | 240.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Machac | 31c | 225.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.78 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Machac | 23c | 215.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.73 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Machac | 47c | 214.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.82 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Paul | 72c | 206.56$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Paul | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda2…de79backed Paul | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b2…5de6backed Machac | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…6f68backed Paul | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c48…6299backed Paul | 60c | 157.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Paul | 43c | 151.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Paul | 54c | 150.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Paul | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Machac | 40c | 148.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…4d84backed Machac | 43c | 141.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Machac | 74c | 135.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Machac | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Machac | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Paul | 55c | 119.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb35…58e3backed Machac | 41c | 117.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Machac | 50c | 117.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Machac | 47c | 107.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Machac | 39c | 104.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Machac | 43c | 102.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Paul | 66c | 100.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…2618backed Paul | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Machac | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Paul | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed Paul | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ec6bbacked Machac | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Paul | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Paul | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…8a8ebacked Paul | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…c001backed Paul | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Machac | 35c | 86.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Paul | 60c | 85.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…d2a7backed Paul | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…fb78backed Machac | 43c | 81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Paul | 53c | 80.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5917…bcfbbacked Paul | 61c | 77.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Machac | 23c | 75.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Paul | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Paul | 59c | 68.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Paul | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Paul | 72c | 60.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Machac | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Paul | 54c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…b219backed Paul | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Machac | 38c | 49.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Machac | 45c | 42.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Paul | 68c | 41.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paulthis page
- Machac vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Machac vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Machac vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Machac vs. Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Machac vs PaulPaul won
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Machac (+1.5)Machac won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.