Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Tereza Valentova vs Maya Joint
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x074ade191095a80259d9ff97cb20512a38f3d0d4287413b40285850ef5e06cae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentovaof Valentova, Joint
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Valentova | 69c | 8,925$6,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.8 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valentova | 80c | 7,191$5,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.11 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Joint | 31c | 7,139$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.09 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Valentova | 73c | 5,487$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.86 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Joint | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Joint | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Joint | 30c | 2,876$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.31 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valentova | 72c | 2,485$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.26 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Joint | 33c | 2,100$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Joint | 33c | 1,900$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.52 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Valentova | 70c | 1,590$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.94 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Joint | 24c | 1,409$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valentova | 66c | 1,355$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.04 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Joint | 26c | 1,330$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.82 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Valentova | 69c | 1,314$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.89 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Joint | 32c | 1,251$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Joint | 31c | 970$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Joint | 31c | 798.87$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.26 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Joint | 30c | 705$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.45 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Valentova | 72c | 698.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Joint | 35c | 695.89$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.11 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Valentova | 71c | 612.63$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Joint | 31c | 550$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Joint | 5c | 542$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Joint | 32c | 475.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Joint | 9c | 358.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Valentova | 70c | 346.77$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…7dcebacked Joint | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Joint | 8c | 264.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Valentova | 64c | 260.89$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Joint | 25c | 185$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ec6bbacked Joint | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x892f…820ebacked Joint | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Joint | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Joint | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Valentova | 73c | 135.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…80f0backed Joint | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Joint | 38c | 103.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Joint | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Valentova | 69c | 71.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Valentova | 70c | 69.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Joint | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Valentova | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Joint | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Joint | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Valentova | 70c | 58.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Joint | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Joint | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…be15backed Valentova | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…f5f3backed Valentova | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Valentova | 68c | 41.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Joint | 33c | 41.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Valentova | 74c | 40.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Joint | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Joint | 35c | 33.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Valentova | 78c | 32.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…f81abacked Valentova | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Valentova | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Valentova | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…388dbacked Valentova | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Valentova | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Valentova | 76c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Valentova | 65c | 19.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Valentova | 67c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Valentova | 68c | 16.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Tereza Valentova vs Maya Jointthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Valentova vs JointValentova won
- Valentova vs. Joint: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.