Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b4bb8a4c0955387f18565892e9a75b9ac253000f6a1fed4cdaba0c29a7b807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Opelkaof Opelka, Popyrin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Popyrin | 30c | 12,818$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.49 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Opelka | 72c | 12,183$8,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.18 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Opelka | 66c | 8,599$5,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.28 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Popyrin | 28c | 6,978$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.04 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Opelka | 68c | 6,222$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.17 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Opelka | 70c | 5,304$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Popyrin | 48c | 4,163$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.78 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Popyrin | 44c | 3,237$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Popyrin | 25c | 3,157$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.71 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Popyrin | 32c | 2,497$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Popyrin | 34c | 2,353$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Opelka | 62c | 2,122$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…670bbacked Popyrin | 40c | 2,053$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.8 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Opelka | 70c | 1,820$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.03 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Popyrin | 10c | 1,722$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.14 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Opelka | 72c | 1,663$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.87 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Opelka | 47c | 1,519$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.96 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…fac2backed Opelka | 76c | 1,500$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Popyrin | 46c | 1,339$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.23 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Opelka | 59c | 1,336$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.97 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Popyrin | 30c | 1,318$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Popyrin | 33c | 1,315$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Popyrin | 52c | 929.49$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.53 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…b290backed Opelka | 47c | 830$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Popyrin | 26c | 823.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Opelka | 46c | 802.35$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.27 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Popyrin | 27c | 678.2$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Opelka | 73c | 650.32$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Opelka | 48c | 581.61$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Opelka | 69c | 509.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.15 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Opelka | 49c | 503.97$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…da0ebacked Popyrin | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Opelka | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Popyrin | 28c | 415.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Popyrin | 29c | 410.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Opelka | 48c | 378.51$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.31 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Opelka | 64c | 374.05$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Popyrin | 33c | 370.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Opelka | 51c | 363.81$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.27 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Popyrin | 26c | 351.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…b81fbacked Popyrin | 34c | 294.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Opelka | 49c | 293.49$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Popyrin | 28c | 290.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…0e61backed Popyrin | 33c | 289.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Opelka | 69c | 288.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Popyrin | 53c | 256.47$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Popyrin | 34c | 236.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee33…9a55backed Opelka | 72c | 222.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Popyrin | 27c | 202.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…d09cbacked Popyrin | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…ee68backed Popyrin | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Opelka | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Popyrin | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…91debacked Popyrin | 27c | 185.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…e23bbacked Opelka | 71c | 155.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Opelka | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Opelka | 71c | 143.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Opelka | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Popyrin | 29c | 137.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Opelka | 68c | 132.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Opelka | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Opelka | 71c | 128.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Opelka | 46c | 118.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…d2a7backed Popyrin | 53c | 117.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Popyrin | 27c | 112.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Popyrin | 18c | 110.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Popyrin | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Opelka | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…2728backed Opelka | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…3bf0backed Opelka | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…c526backed Opelka | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…0f4cbacked Opelka | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…7e93backed Opelka | 74c | 99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Popyrin | 25c | 93.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Opelka | 77c | 88.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Popyrin | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Popyrin | 29c | 80.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Opelka | 66c | 76.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195b…c181backed Opelka | 70c | 71.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ec6bbacked Popyrin | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…e5dbbacked Popyrin | 29c | 69.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Popyrin | 53c | 68.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Opelka | 75c | 68.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a72…a524backed Opelka | 74c | 63.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Popyrin | 52c | 60.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Popyrin | 31c | 60.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Opelka | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed Popyrin | 34c | 59.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Opelka | 66c | 58.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Opelka | 63c | 58.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5586…e117backed Popyrin | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Opelka | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Popyrin | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…b8bcbacked Opelka | 54c | 55.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Popyrin | 29c | 54.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…24f4backed Opelka | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Opelka | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Popyrin | 48c | 47.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Popyrin | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Opelka | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrinthis page
- Opelka vs. Popyrin: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Popyrin (-1.5) vs Opelka (+1.5)Opelka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.