La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663a743a53a547b82778f0084a14b0ab7872b31f8744bfa031f2ea8e01c43ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 2,832$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.69 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 36c | 2,331$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.62 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 52c | 2,003$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.92 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 1,878$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 20c | 1,824$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.62 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 668.67$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.79 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 550$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 5c | 462.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 64c | 458.63$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 41c | 448.12$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.39 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 44c | 377.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.19 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 43c | 370.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.18 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 42c | 281.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 42c | 280.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.57 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 271.23$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 67c | 233.21$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 42c | 231.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…22a2backed Yes | 42c | 193.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 42c | 184.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 166.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 41c | 133.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed No | 19c | 130.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…ee45backed Yes | 41c | 126.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 57c | 102.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 58c | 101.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 96.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 41c | 89.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 57c | 76.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 58c | 73.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes | 79c | 62.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 62.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 24c | 59.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 62c | 59.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed No | 60c | 50.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 23c | 48.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 41c | 46.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 45.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…76dfbacked No | 27c | 45.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 42c | 44.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 57c | 41.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 52c | 35.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 56c | 34.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 57c | 34.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 57c | 34.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 57c | 34.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 57c | 34.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 57c | 34.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…d869backed No | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 64c | 33.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 38c | 30.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 56c | 30.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 57c | 29.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 42c | 27.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…671fbacked Yes | 41c | 26.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 58c | 25.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 52c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 20.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Real Racing Club vs. UD Almería end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.