La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0619393436c315d5bdacab0a91a71e2607cdf4ac1fb55a12f424e717f82c4036
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 8,937$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.89 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 46c | 4,207$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.76 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,825$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.46 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 1,697$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.7 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…38e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,059$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 34c | 715.5$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.27 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 34c | 706.18$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.1 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 581.7$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.78 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 33c | 214.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 185.64$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 57c | 84.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 47c | 63.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 50c | 63.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 52c | 47.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 46c | 45.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 40.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…b1ffbacked Yes | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 55c | 35.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 56c | 34.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 66c | 23.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 67c | 23.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 75c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Real Racing Club vs. UD Almería end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.