La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club vs. UD Almería end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25bbde0e422ed40f9cbfa995514196bb42d5ef92b6d9d276da2eb71ea9027b0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 3,291$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.81 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,351$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 1,149$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.54 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 718.6$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.18 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 19c | 507.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 348.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 224.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…38e7backed Yes | 12c | 187.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 155.36$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 129.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7296…69f5backed Yes | 26c | 111.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…af55backed Yes | 10c | 101.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 77c | 93.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 78c | 77.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 74.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 74.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 78c | 63.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 52.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 48.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 78c | 38.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 78c | 38.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 36.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 27.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 78c | 27.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club vs. UD Almería end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.