MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a26d228d71341701558682c23a3f42465ba20ebe9eff13a99bda8f920546885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 27,587$14,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,171.1 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 18,364$12,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.48 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 13,998$10,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.68 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 13,742$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.55 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 13,649$7,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,531.63 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.11 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 9,670$5,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,327.03 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 9,113$5,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004.05 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 8,773$4,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.21 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 7,378$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.67 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 6,419$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 5,400$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 5,056$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.91 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 5,009$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.84 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 4,811$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Boston Red Sox | 27c | 4,706$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 3,922$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.93 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 3,694$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.41 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 2,691$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.04 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 2,590$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,466$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Boston Red Sox | 3c | 2,300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Boston Red Sox | 10c | 2,270$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 2,219$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.14 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,218$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.52 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 1,956$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.58 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,900$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.27 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,793$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.08 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,675$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Boston Red Sox | 24c | 1,633$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.24 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Boston Red Sox | 27c | 1,482$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Boston Red Sox | 14c | 1,358$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.62 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Boston Red Sox | 30c | 1,294$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.58 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 1,170$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.34 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 1,097$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.59 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,088$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.27 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Boston Red Sox | 23c | 1,047$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.34 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 1,004$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.53 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Boston Red Sox | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 995.78$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.6 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 987.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.3 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 986.55$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.43 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 915.7$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.95 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Boston Red Sox | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 906.3$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 904.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.98 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Boston Red Sox | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…b0e1backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 886.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 867.27$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 713$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.19 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 630.69$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.27 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…d526backed Boston Red Sox | 18c | 602.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 576.31$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.06 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 528.11$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 500$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston Red Sox | 22c | 499.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…fed6backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 472.32$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 470$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.4 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 440$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 439.42$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 433.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 428.67$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 426$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 414.47$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 408.19$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.67 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 406.37$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Boston Red Sox | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 375.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 370.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 368.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 355.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 294.53$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 293$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Boston Red Sox | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 262$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 245$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 242$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 239$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 238.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 233.57$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 231$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 229.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 229.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- NRFI: Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.