TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego Padresof San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe790…eadcbacked San Diego Padres68c11,593$7,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,748.2221656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked San Francisco Giants12c8,119$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.759035.6%32 W · 58 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf52b…905bbacked San Francisco Giants24c7,803$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.991861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd658…ecadbacked San Francisco Giants31c5,812$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres59c3,575$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.551,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.985,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants42c2,985$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.852,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants14c2,447$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.341,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed San Diego Padres59c2,411$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.6116547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked San Francisco Giants42c1,958$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.4611125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked San Francisco Giants25c1,943$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.37520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed San Diego Padres78c1,937$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.91666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Francisco Giants6c1,933$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.041,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed San Francisco Giants11c1,709$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.672218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed San Diego Padres79c1,463$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.0623036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed San Francisco Giants19c1,296$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5110847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked San Francisco Giants42c1,168$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.512360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked San Francisco Giants29c1,162$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.067948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked San Diego Padres58c1,162$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.8630647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed San Francisco Giants42c1,149$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.64944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked San Francisco Giants42c1,124$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.072934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants7c1,120$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.841,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked San Francisco Giants28c1,013$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.19219.6%18 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed San Diego Padres59c988.63$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.3440348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked San Francisco Giants14c976.65$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.744740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Padres72c937.88$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1265050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres70c837.76$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.745,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres68c802.06$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.729,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed San Diego Padres70c747.89$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1754941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants34c733.45$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.091,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked San Diego Padres69c714.57$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.972638.5%10 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Francisco Giants48c647.05$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.941,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed San Francisco Giants42c632.31$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5732152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed San Francisco Giants42c629.95$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.638032.5%26 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked San Diego Padres58c592.68$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.921,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants43c563.81$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4232742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres77c551.79$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.052,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed San Francisco Giants43c522.12$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed San Francisco Giants28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14061346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked San Francisco Giants7c492.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9911844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed San Francisco Giants42c491.3$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3310240.2%41 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed San Francisco Giants33c480.09$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.231,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed San Francisco Giants33c480.09$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.231,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked San Francisco Giants16c475.75$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.123745.9%17 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed San Diego Padres59c413.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.465345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1686,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed San Francisco Giants5c400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed San Francisco Giants41c388$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0844643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked San Francisco Giants42c379.49$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3932348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03b…a5dfbacked San Francisco Giants42c347.57$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.982133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed San Diego Padres57c343.01$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.491,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed San Diego Padres64c302.69$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.978355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed San Francisco Giants42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed San Francisco Giants42c289.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6259150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed San Diego Padres69c284.46$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.181855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants12c275.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed San Francisco Giants31c263.4$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e4…7310backed San Francisco Giants32c252.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed San Diego Padres58c238.73$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2770735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed San Diego Padres64c238.13$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3155541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked San Diego Padres57c233.84$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6518754%101 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres76c230.17$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.796,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed San Francisco Giants42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.525928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked San Francisco Giants42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.522030%6 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed San Francisco Giants27c217.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5114039.3%55 W · 85 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed San Francisco Giants41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8268846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked San Francisco Giants41c199.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5717448.9%85 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked San Francisco Giants42c196.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5160350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked San Diego Padres59c195.08$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9823152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed San Diego Padres58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5914100%14 W · 0 L+5.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed San Diego Padres60c166.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed San Francisco Giants42c160.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5656946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed San Francisco Giants16c160.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6178146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked San Francisco Giants25c152.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed San Diego Padres58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6317050%85 W · 85 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x406c…ec46backed San Francisco Giants43c139.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.84042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed San Francisco Giants19c137.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6513742.3%58 W · 79 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed San Francisco Giants15c136.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked San Francisco Giants29c129.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7315243.4%66 W · 86 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed San Francisco Giants48c124.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6136649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebfd…ad3dbacked San Francisco Giants42c116.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.051346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants43c116.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked San Francisco Giants42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2641549.2%204 W · 211 L+22.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked San Diego Padres71c112.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5816159.6%96 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Diego Padres55c107.57$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1446547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants13c104.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0960941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed San Francisco Giants42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4273653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a18…e0b2backed San Diego Padres68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked San Francisco Giants40c99.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.971,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed San Francisco Giants32c99.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.563231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked San Diego Padres78c97.69$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4918056.1%101 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked San Francisco Giants42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5434145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked San Francisco Giants42c96.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3919752.3%103 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed San Francisco Giants42c91.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5154146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed San Francisco Giants14c90.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0513138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1093…4038backed San Francisco Giants43c89.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked San Francisco Giants41c88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.082,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed San Francisco Giants33c87.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7868942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed San Francisco Giants42c86.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.482,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.