Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe028f5417dab7499f9e746cbed4c100924f1117dc04898a081d178cf41a72d93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,983 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Team Spirit | 0c | 39,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…e557backed Team Falcons | 52c | 25,308$13,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,174.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 56c | 23,617$13,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,247.42 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Spirit | 24c | 17,474$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.21 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 15,628$6,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,858.35 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Team Spirit | 57c | 10,364$5,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,876.35 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 9,953$5,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,712.65 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.97 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 7,732$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.1 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 5,308$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.98 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Spirit | 54c | 5,032$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.54 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Spirit | 10c | 4,539$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.79 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Falcons | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Falcons | 44c | 3,600$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 41c | 3,300$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 44c | 3,156$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.49 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Team Falcons | 51c | 2,751$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.94 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit | 36c | 2,036$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.12 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 43c | 1,877$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.91 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,793$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit | 16c | 1,601$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.34 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,600$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,580$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.19 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Team Spirit | 5c | 1,439$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Team Spirit | 39c | 1,428$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 1,400$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,311$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.36 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,240$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.5 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,015$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.45 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,001$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.39 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Spirit | 33c | 956.06$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 906.86$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Spirit | 58c | 903.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Falcons | 45c | 899.96$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.98 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 17c | 855.77$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Spirit | 56c | 822.51$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Spirit | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 787.01$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.08 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 24c | 753.69$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.17 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 666$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.3 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Spirit | 55c | 665.45$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed Team Spirit | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Falcons | 46c | 554.35$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.35 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Team Spirit | 57c | 542.61$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.99 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 539.51$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Spirit | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Spirit | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Spirit | 25c | 500$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Falcons | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Team Spirit | 16c | 479.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Team Spirit | 19c | 457.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Falcons | 49c | 445.35$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.13 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 438.85$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Team Falcons | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 412.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Team Spirit | 55c | 403.64$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 38c | 350.46$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Falcons | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed Team Spirit | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Falcons | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Falcons | 62c | 295.54$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Spirit | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Team Spirit | 22c | 280.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Team Spirit | 26c | 272.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…bf95backed Team Spirit | 28c | 272.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 259 | 53.3%138 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Team Falcons | 49c | 230.61$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Falcons | 49c | 219.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 217.14$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 43c | 217.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.77 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Team Spirit | 57c | 209.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Team Spirit | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Falcons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Spirit | 21c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…139ebacked Team Spirit | 8c | 199$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Spirit | 8c | 195$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Team Spirit | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6d…f901backed Team Spirit | 47c | 189.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…274cbacked Team Spirit | 11c | 188.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit | 42c | 179.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed Team Spirit | 55c | 168.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Team Spirit | 53c | 165.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 161.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Team Spirit | 12c | 158$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Team Spirit | 36c | 153.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 151.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 74c | 147.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Team Spirit | 22c | 147.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Spirit | 23c | 140.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Team Spirit | 45c | 134.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…236dbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 118.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 116.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 103.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Team Falcons | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Team Spirit | 50c | 100.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.