Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fae95b89a506f340116d0c7b6ec9b4fefc845ed02d98c07b7810132935b8b19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,679 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 56c | 27,034$15,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,078 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 24,474$12,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,155.8 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 16,649$7,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,323.34 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 15,752$8,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,663.82 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 12,949$5,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,381.09 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…e557backed Team Spirit | 54c | 10,368$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,623.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 56c | 9,154$5,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Team Spirit | 57c | 7,555$4,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,306.17 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 7,420$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.64 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 54c | 6,427$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.63 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 5,721$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.43 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Falcons | 42c | 5,651$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.46 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 4,849$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.75 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Falcons | 44c | 4,794$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.52 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 62c | 4,211$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.14 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.98 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Falcons | 44c | 3,282$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.71 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 3,244$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.41 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 2,848$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.19 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,690$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.26 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,628$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.88 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 2,575$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.14 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 47c | 2,500$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.65 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Spirit | 53c | 2,408$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.38 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,376$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.19 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Team Spirit | 41c | 2,289$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Spirit | 56c | 2,086$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.35 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Team Spirit | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,891$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,806$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.06 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,804$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,726$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.84 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Falcons | 76c | 1,719$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.62 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,680$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.14 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit | 14c | 1,600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.41 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,471$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.58 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,315$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.9 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,222$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,175$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.71 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Spirit | 14c | 1,159$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 1,139$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.12 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Team Spirit | 35c | 1,127$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,112$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.53 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,038$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.37 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,027$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.72 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 47c | 1,016$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.14 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Spirit | 27c | 993.15$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.15 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Spirit | 57c | 897.43$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.51 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Falcons | 77c | 896.47$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.02 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 880.4$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.22 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Spirit | 42c | 873.64$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Falcons | 45c | 864$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 44c | 864$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.84 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Falcons | 45c | 815$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.05 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Team Falcons | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 650$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.74 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 632.83$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 626.29$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.13 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons | 62c | 607.05$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.7 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Team Spirit | 51c | 585.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 540$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 43c | 536.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.26 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 43c | 529.12$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.6 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit | 44c | 528.86$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.68 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Falcons | 46c | 521.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.65 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Spirit | 50c | 499.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 44c | 471.3$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.93 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 467.15$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.53 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Team Falcons | 65c | 463.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.18 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Team Falcons | 54c | 453.7$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 43c | 450.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.05 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit | 56c | 442.36$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Spirit | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 428.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.75 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Spirit | 60c | 413.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Spirit | 55c | 413.46$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.47 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Spirit | 57c | 413.1$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Falcons | 64c | 399.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 46c | 379.38$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed Team Falcons | 54c | 373.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Spirit | 57c | 372.93$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.37 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 44c | 368.18$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Spirit | 58c | 366.67$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Team Spirit | 41c | 320.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Falcons | 64c | 302$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Spirit | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed Team Spirit | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Spirit | 51c | 270$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit | 56c | 268.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Spirit | 58c | 252$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Falcons | 64c | 250.38$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Team Falcons | 63c | 233.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Spirit | 53c | 228.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 216.67$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.