Lol · resolved market
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Galions - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1805bc2debcd628c2a320b2621a9f9a9997a72dcd4348b7b395303f3eeb699a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Eintracht Spandau, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,745 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Eintracht Spandau | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5198…7a53backed Eintracht Spandau | 8c | 1,819$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Eintracht Spandau | 14c | 1,462$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.29 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Eintracht Spandau | 7c | 975.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Eintracht Spandau | 5c | 964.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eintracht Spandau | 9c | 959.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 6c | 707.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 10c | 476.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Eintracht Spandau | 6c | 342.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Eintracht Spandau | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Eintracht Spandau | 12c | 148$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Eintracht Spandau | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe791…cbc0backed Eintracht Spandau | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Eintracht Spandau | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Galions | 79c | 56.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…e3f0backed Eintracht Spandau | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Galions | 68c | 20.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Galions | 73c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Galions | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)Galions won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.