Lol · resolved market
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3e1332f873e984ffbdd982ef8d4cc080c74094aa86c34c5c3ba841db993ac8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Eintracht Spandau, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,763 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Galions | 78c | 8,285$6,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.41 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 22c | 2,186$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.58 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Eintracht Spandau | 22c | 2,158$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.87 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Eintracht Spandau | 29c | 1,500$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.46 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 4c | 1,280$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Galions | 73c | 1,226$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.94 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 765$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Eintracht Spandau | 22c | 681.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Eintracht Spandau | 5c | 599.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 581$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Galions | 76c | 515$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Galions | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…ebe6backed Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 485.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed Eintracht Spandau | 25c | 451.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Eintracht Spandau | 25c | 442.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Eintracht Spandau | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 24c | 399.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eintracht Spandau | 6c | 390$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Galions | 75c | 349.71$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Eintracht Spandau | 9c | 342.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Galions | 79c | 326$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Eintracht Spandau | 7c | 325$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Eintracht Spandau | 11c | 229.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eintracht Spandau | 18c | 220.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Eintracht Spandau | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Eintracht Spandau | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Eintracht Spandau | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a76…a671backed Eintracht Spandau | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Eintracht Spandau | 22c | 129.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 20c | 103$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…33bebacked Eintracht Spandau | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc834…685fbacked Galions | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Galions | 75c | 94.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…6f82backed Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 82.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 81.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Galions | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Galions | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Eintracht Spandau | 28c | 64.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Eintracht Spandau | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 60.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Eintracht Spandau | 23c | 52.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Eintracht Spandau | 22c | 51.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 50.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…e668backed Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 50.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd191…449dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 50.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 50.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…1255backed Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 50.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Eintracht Spandau | 28c | 46.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Galions | 72c | 44.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Eintracht Spandau | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…5238backed Galions | 76c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Galions | 77c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Galions | 77c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Galions | 72c | 26.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Galions | 72c | 25.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Galions | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)Galions won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.