TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof Gen.G, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$495,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,755 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe72b…b0a0backed G2 Esports23c83,492$19,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,371.894037.5%15 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bad…861fbacked Gen.G56c82,461$46,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,0003246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Gen.G2c66,628$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.561,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Gen.G78c66,478$51,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,842.4259558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked G2 Esports24c50,753$12,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,484.1290348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed G2 Esports12c23,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,240875%6 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+217.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed G2 Esports11c22,551$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,070.071,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked G2 Esports11c20,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,8008444%37 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed G2 Esports14c19,764$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,899.5921137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gen.G18c12,585$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.22,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked G2 Esports43c5,460$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.32050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked G2 Esports12c5,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5763461.8%21 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed G2 Esports12c5,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Gen.G59c4,478$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.0529833.9%101 W · 197 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed G2 Esports23c4,324$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,344.983946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…c211backed G2 Esports13c4,182$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.673100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+466.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed G2 Esports12c4,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5205139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed G2 Esports11c4,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.993268.8%22 W · 10 L+7.2wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+130.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Gen.G0c3,700$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4689810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Gen.G57c3,517$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.8952062.3%324 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed G2 Esports41c3,500$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.981,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Gen.G57c3,491$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.72227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-55.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 Esports41c3,009$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.43,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Gen.G55c2,865$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.839447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked G2 Esports36c2,700$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.9970456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed G2 Esports43c2,540$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.82642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked G2 Esports10c2,540$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.9611435.1%40 W · 74 L+0.5wins0.00per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f16…5fe7backed G2 Esports43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.583256.3%18 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+83.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed G2 Esports11c2,159$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.9114637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Gen.G55c2,093$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.5413239.4%52 W · 80 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Gen.G58c2,081$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.2617839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked Gen.G57c1,920$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009456.4%53 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Gen.G57c1,875$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.544550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Gen.G9c1,697$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.78042.5%34 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Gen.G42c1,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.191330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc765…9322backed Gen.G64c1,565$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Gen.G78c1,500$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17028655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked G2 Esports48c1,487$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.9826645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed G2 Esports11c1,350$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.510521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed G2 Esports12c1,350$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18816034.4%55 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Gen.G39c1,321$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.2718520.5%38 W · 147 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Gen.G57c1,219$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70068557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked G2 Esports42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69620045%90 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Gen.G54c1,176$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.1942148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked G2 Esports43c1,095$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.1532345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed G2 Esports14c1,087$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.3819351.3%99 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4532…e2a7backed Gen.G58c1,017$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.162236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Gen.G42c1,001$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42018839.9%75 W · 113 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked G2 Esports11c1,000$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89022930.6%70 W · 159 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7351…b857backed G2 Esports42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804854.2%26 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed G2 Esports11c900.42$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.371,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed G2 Esports43c900$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5134564.4%29 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed G2 Esports47c888.19$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.045853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed G2 Esports15c858.1$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.451,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed G2 Esports43c848.84$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.8424235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed G2 Esports42c834.42$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.9648448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5a…f96ebacked Gen.G45c798.8$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.071931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked G2 Esports42c776.99$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.661,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Gen.G57c725.6$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.5944843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11c9…9befbacked Gen.G9c707.82$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8718157.5%104 W · 77 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Gen.G64c706$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.841752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed G2 Esports48c677.96$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.3716045.6%73 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed G2 Esports12c676$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.8846058%267 W · 193 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed G2 Esports43c641.34$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.341566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+165.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed G2 Esports12c620.17$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.7586144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Gen.G4c619.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.181,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8735…41bbbacked Gen.G6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+3,900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed G2 Esports12c565$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.237641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x634a…07b2backed Gen.G78c537.31$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4205856.9%33 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked G2 Esports22c536.09$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.2713336.8%49 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Gen.G61c518$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.2925466.5%169 W · 85 L+22.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3409…6839backed Gen.G55c517.06$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.022045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed G2 Esports12c510.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.132934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Gen.G4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick4cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Gen.G11c500$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1612545.6%57 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Gen.G40c499.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed G2 Esports43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1256432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb04…8b8abacked G2 Esports11c454.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5510616%17 W · 89 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Gen.G59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed G2 Esports12c416.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.674751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2b5…e30fbacked Gen.G17c406.73$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.78142%34 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed G2 Esports42c394.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.122,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed G2 Esports13c384.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.6210947.7%52 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f64…6ddfbacked G2 Esports42c371.43$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.432650%13 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f4…3421backed G2 Esports12c368.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.066033.3%20 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G2 Esports19c362.58$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.832,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed G2 Esports13c350$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.55541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed G2 Esports21c341$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2412763%80 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Gen.G58c336.43$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.723438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked G2 Esports12c331.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3521844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e1…d17abacked G2 Esports45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1654254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Gen.G4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124418.2%8 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+135.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed G2 Esports11c272.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.734531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Gen.G59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508757.5%50 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked G2 Esports18c232.55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3834945.6%159 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c3…6031backed G2 Esports23c229.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+108.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1230…8e43backed G2 Esports44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed G2 Esports44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2739541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed G2 Esports14c213.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.917452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe791…cbc0backed G2 Esports12c208.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.331855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+81.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.