Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f6d5591b50f7ee5181234ed7259161a6df9ccab1182f2bcd107cd8184f0e90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,636 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 1c | 3,741$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Over | 10c | 1,598$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 11c | 1,212$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 9c | 798.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 8c | 598.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…9a65backed Over | 39c | 562.5$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 14c | 529.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 40c | 439.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 74c | 413.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…1521backed Over | 60c | 352.65$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 39c | 294.24$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Under | 69c | 290.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 12c | 250.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 223.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 17c | 215.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 62c | 178.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 37c | 108.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 49c | 97.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 401 | 43.9%176 W · 225 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…eb89backed Over | 13c | 74.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +97%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 42c | 69.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 59c | 66.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…96a8backed Over | 40c | 49.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…735ebacked Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 44cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 59c | 32.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…ac4ebacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?G2 Esports won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Gen.G (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.