Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7ba5e3c4d815d32652ec72f4b3f94b4e638c5bbb5b202fc36b74e507c8c8a7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,395 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Over | 58c | 20,000$11,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,674.99 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under | 42c | 14,000$5,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,162.71 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Under | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 42c | 2,718$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.48 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 42c | 999.97$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Under | 58c | 838.38$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.12 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…0c24backed Over | 46c | 536.52$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…4925backed Over | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Under | 41c | 242.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 56c | 106.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…fcccbacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 54c | 57.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fde…9ab1backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Over | 27c | 46.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 73c | 46.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 55c | 18.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?G2 Esports won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Gen.G (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.