TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,418 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bdd…23dcbacked Over56c20,000$11,274 inLost-$11,273.917163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under44c17,842$7,784 inWon+$10,058.433762.2%23 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa28d…d5ccbacked Over45c2,200$990 inLost-$9901030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under55c2,188$1,203 inWon+$984.67736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under63c2,000$1,260 inWon+$740560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over44c999.99$440 inLost-$439.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under56c650.7$364 inWon+$286.3132345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16e1…d17abacked Under56c400$224 inWon+$1764254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c262.25$117 inLost-$116.941,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed Under58c215.52$125 inWon+$90.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under55c200$110 inWon+$901457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over42c195.52$82 inLost-$82.1213336.8%49 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbb…8205backed Over27c117.33$32 inLost-$31.681435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea15…ba9ebacked Under57c100$57 inWon+$43.0520140.8%82 W · 119 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over43c95$41 inLost-$40.8518829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under72c77.86$56 inWon+$21.853943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40ca…731bbacked Under56c70$39 inWon+$30.83850%19 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over47c64.47$30 inLost-$3037342.9%160 W · 213 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6752…25c2backed Over47c64.19$30 inLost-$29.973655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under46c30.33$14 inWon+$16.3816154%87 W · 74 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc826…3c91backed Under48c21$10 inWon+$10.921353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under54c20$11 inWon+$9.228559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1224…62fbbacked Under54c20$11 inWon+$9.31338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.