Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bf96dc913352d3b341d002e303f047116e4968498920eb66619da3b94a855a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Team Yandex, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,327 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1776…e557backed PARIVISION | 54c | 29,059$15,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,291.42 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 43c | 21,609$9,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,248.07 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 9,180$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.5 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 60c | 8,738$5,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.91 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 53c | 8,406$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.06 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 47c | 8,314$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.4 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed PARIVISION | 46c | 6,557$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.84 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 5,263$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.21 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…766dbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 4,840$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex | 48c | 4,040$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.27 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…3f60backed Team Yandex | 45c | 3,473$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 50c | 3,169$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.75 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 38c | 3,148$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Team Yandex | 1c | 3,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed PARIVISION | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 2,578$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.83 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 45c | 2,415$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.1 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex | 40c | 2,406$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.07 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 1,951$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.21 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,901$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.25 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 1,849$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.18 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed PARIVISION | 60c | 1,782$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.68 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Yandex | 57c | 1,750$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 1,728$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.63 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION | 41c | 1,500$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.98 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION | 42c | 1,444$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.84 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 1,429$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.87 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 1,297$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.42 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 1,283$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.91 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,272$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.3 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed PARIVISION | 34c | 1,171$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 1,069$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Team Yandex | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 55c | 939.14$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.99 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked PARIVISION | 45c | 880$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Yandex | 5c | 769.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Team Yandex | 50c | 718.35$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.02 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed PARIVISION | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Yandex | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Team Yandex | 47c | 638.71$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.73 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked PARIVISION | 63c | 613.8$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex | 8c | 611.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Yandex | 43c | 506.56$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 454.54$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.91 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex | 34c | 440$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Yandex | 50c | 402$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Yandex | 53c | 400.28$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed PARIVISION | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Yandex | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex | 44c | 399.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed PARIVISION | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Team Yandex | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 60c | 383.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Yandex | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 55c | 365$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.82 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 361.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.83 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Team Yandex | 57c | 348.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 46c | 331.34$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed PARIVISION | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked PARIVISION | 22c | 313.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.63 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Yandex | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 39c | 300$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION | 57c | 277.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.63 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed PARIVISION | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 35c | 260.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.42 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 47c | 253.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Yandex | 65c | 246.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PARIVISION | 50c | 246.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 244.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PARIVISION | 43c | 235.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…6f25backed Team Yandex | 60c | 230.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.19 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Team Yandex | 16c | 204.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Yandex | 57c | 202.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…266cbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 200.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed PARIVISION | 49c | 199.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed PARIVISION | 64c | 189.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed PARIVISION | 75c | 189.19$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Yandex | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Yandex | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed PARIVISION | 54c | 183.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe791…cbc0backed Team Yandex | 42c | 179.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 34c | 177.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Yandex | 54c | 174.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 57c | 172.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Yandex | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed PARIVISION | 59c | 169.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Yandex | 62c | 163.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed PARIVISION | 41c | 157.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Yandex | 64c | 153.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Yandex | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed PARIVISION | 44c | 151.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked PARIVISION | 34c | 150.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…def8backed Team Yandex | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Yandex | 68c | 147.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf0…b959backed Team Yandex | 39c | 140.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked PARIVISION | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed Team Yandex | 61c | 130.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.