Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x534454d6e111eafd44c7de9b767ae00ab3b47532d0ceb1ff4d3ab6be4cbcebbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,572 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 34,976$15,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,144.46 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Yandex | 53c | 19,020$10,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,005.7 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 52c | 15,372$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 49c | 13,074$6,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,407.24 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Yandex | 13c | 10,884$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.16 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 9,675$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,077.79 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 8,013$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.13 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Yandex | 27c | 6,883$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.76 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 6,690$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.49 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Yandex | 19c | 6,475$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.6 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Yandex | 28c | 6,454$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.57 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 6,186$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.72 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 5,080$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.32 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 4,278$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.15 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Yandex | 14c | 4,263$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.02 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 3,333$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.81 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Team Yandex | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Team Yandex | 53c | 2,833$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 34c | 2,746$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.58 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 2,733$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.87 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Yandex | 33c | 2,570$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.67 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 19c | 2,183$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.01 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…4dd1backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 2,132$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex | 52c | 2,056$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Team Yandex | 17c | 1,992$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Team Yandex | 46c | 1,816$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.48 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 71c | 1,702$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.34 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex | 30c | 1,672$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 29c | 1,627$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.02 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,407$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.67 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 40c | 1,395$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.74 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,338$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.15 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,200$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…4be9backed Team Yandex | 17c | 1,083$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7930…d92ebacked Team Yandex | 2c | 1,077$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,070$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.55 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,060$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.37 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,022$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.14 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Team Yandex | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 960$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.8 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Yandex | 9c | 920$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Yandex | 7c | 901.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 804.82$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.68 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Yandex | 26c | 777.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 773$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex | 26c | 758.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Yandex | 40c | 744.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 728.53$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.24 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Team Yandex | 14c | 716.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Yandex | 17c | 706.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 40c | 700$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.8 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 684.82$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.23 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Yandex | 40c | 619.88$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Yandex | 19c | 596.32$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 594.95$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.99 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Yandex | 6c | 589.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Team Yandex | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 578.23$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.46 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 573.53$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.53 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Yandex | 54c | 551.71$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Yandex | 23c | 518.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Team Yandex | 62c | 510.26$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.61 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Team Yandex | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Yandex | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Yandex | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 424.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.02 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 420.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.59 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Yandex | 50c | 406.54$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Yandex | 53c | 400$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Team Yandex | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 389.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.31 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Yandex | 69c | 388.8$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.27 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 385.35$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Yandex | 52c | 383.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Team Yandex | 53c | 377.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…274cbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 366.31$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex | 26c | 361.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Yandex | 16c | 360.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Team Yandex | 30c | 355.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 354.38$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.6 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Yandex | 10c | 325$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 319.88$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…fdfcbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 304$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Yandex | 52c | 300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Team Yandex | 34c | 288.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 282.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Yandex | 54c | 275.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 274.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Team Yandex | 16c | 254.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 253.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Team Yandex | 18c | 246.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Yandex | 5c | 245.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Team Yandex | 29c | 233.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Team Yandex | 52c | 233.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.