Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d4e290d138edd6d59cdd8a454f433755134e63f1a09bceb864a5a32491146fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,593 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Yandex | 53c | 15,000$7,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,073.27 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 12,423$6,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,146.38 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 7,972$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.22 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 7,640$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.25 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 7,505$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.67 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Yandex | 75c | 7,289$5,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.83 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex | 52c | 6,170$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.04 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 47c | 4,343$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.15 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 4,068$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.16 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 4,068$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 52c | 3,842$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.14 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex | 51c | 3,300$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.73 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Team Yandex | 55c | 2,738$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.64 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 2,668$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.87 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,610$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.93 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 52c | 2,156$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.14 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…4dd1backed Team Yandex | 75c | 1,837$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.38 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 1,734$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.68 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,712$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,273$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.35 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 1,269$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.15 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Tundra Esports | 3c | 1,250$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Yandex | 63c | 1,206$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.82 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,182$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.77 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Yandex | 58c | 1,169$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.53 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,164$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.61 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 1,082$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.75 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex | 55c | 968.1$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.6 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 948.11$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 908.62$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.05 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 899.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 825.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Tundra Esports | 28c | 800$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Tundra Esports | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 14c | 779.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Team Yandex | 69c | 772.23$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 740.71$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 690.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 668.07$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 662.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…fdfcbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 652.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Yandex | 61c | 609.51$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.04 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 603.45$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 600.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.53 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 578.19$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.66 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 525.53$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 506.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 499.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Yandex | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 469.12$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0425backed Team Yandex | 53c | 432.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 417.34$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.67 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Yandex | 65c | 411.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Yandex | 79c | 408.7$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Yandex | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Yandex | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Yandex | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed Tundra Esports | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Yandex | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Yandex | 52c | 399.8$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.11 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 382.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.51 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Yandex | 53c | 378.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.87 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Team Yandex | 55c | 350$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…7deebacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 327.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.87 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 322.03$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 306.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Yandex | 55c | 306.53$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Yandex | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Tundra Esports | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c6…d2d6backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 278.66$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6backed Tundra Esports | 5c | 278.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Team Yandex | 62c | 258.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…6f25backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 256.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 242$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…4be9backed Tundra Esports | 13c | 231.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Tundra Esports | 20c | 230$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Tundra Esports | 17c | 220.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 213.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Yandex | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 208.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 208.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 200.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Tundra Esports | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Yandex | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…6e16backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 199.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -59%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 198.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 196.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Team Yandex | 53c | 190.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb95…7e94backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 189.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.