TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,593 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Yandex53c15,000$7,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,073.2733746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Tundra Esports49c12,423$6,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,146.3814253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports50c7,972$3,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,967.2296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Yandex59c7,640$4,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,167.2586949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports47c7,505$3,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,544.6755157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Yandex75c7,289$5,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.8334468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex52c6,170$3,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.0445139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex47c4,343$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.152,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports54c4,068$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.1622842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Tundra Esports49c4,068$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Tundra Esports48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9208242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex52c3,842$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.1454556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.1732854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex51c3,300$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.7369644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2969…d6e5backed Team Yandex55c2,738$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.644131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex52c2,668$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.871,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports49c2,610$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.9322954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex52c2,156$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.1460552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cd…4dd1backed Team Yandex75c1,837$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.382556%14 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Yandex60c1,734$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.6818746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Tundra Esports58c1,712$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014747.6%70 W · 77 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports50c1,273$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.3544149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports36c1,269$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.151,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Tundra Esports3c1,250$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.236132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Yandex63c1,206$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.8262650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports47c1,182$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.7739660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Yandex58c1,169$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.5346649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Tundra Esports60c1,164$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.6151049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex56c1,082$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.7577458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex55c968.1$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.651751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports32c948.11$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.11,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports48c908.62$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.0549455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Tundra Esports48c899.99$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9911647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports36c825.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30055457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Tundra Esports28c800$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22518362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Tundra Esports21c800$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16813027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports14c779.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11048954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Team Yandex69c772.23$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.397950.6%40 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Tundra Esports43c740.71$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31972035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Tundra Esports32c690.62$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.38447.6%40 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Tundra Esports52c668.07$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Tundra Esports45c662.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Tundra Esports61c655.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40036547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6160…fdfcbacked Team Yandex46c652.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.231442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Yandex61c609.51$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0456548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Yandex77c603.45$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.893658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Tundra Esports33c600.1$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5397142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63a2…5bc1backed Tundra Esports52c578.19$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6612638.9%49 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Tundra Esports47c525.53$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24625147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked Tundra Esports49c506.72$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports37c499.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18688166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Yandex53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.71,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Tundra Esports37c469.12$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2550832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Tundra Esports50c444$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22212661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9c4…0425backed Team Yandex53c432.96$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-54.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Yandex50c417.34$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6736759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Yandex65c411.5$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.554753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2760…ef06backed Team Yandex79c408.7$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3310759.8%64 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Yandex46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Yandex50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Yandex80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8032652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb638…5213backed Tundra Esports4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163215.6%5 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-69.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Team Yandex49c399.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9917353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Yandex52c399.8$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1115051.3%77 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports41c382.96$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.512,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed Team Yandex53c378.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8724045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…8c08backed Team Yandex55c350$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1564748.9%23 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb15f…7deebacked Tundra Esports50c327.74$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.875552.7%29 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex69c322.03$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0360646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccb…bbd7backed Tundra Esports49c306.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Yandex55c306.53$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7857654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15047660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Tundra Esports53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15961548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Yandex71c299.99$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8710966.1%72 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Tundra Esports18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5467555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1c6…d2d6backed Tundra Esports55c278.66$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.18445.2%38 W · 46 L-9.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ad9…7bf6backed Tundra Esports5c278.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.977133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Team Yandex62c258.82$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8221751.6%112 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…6f25backed Tundra Esports50c256.46$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.232433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Team Yandex40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15019443.3%84 W · 110 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Tundra Esports50c242$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12133549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ad…4be9backed Tundra Esports13c231.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306132.8%20 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Tundra Esports20c230$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.314744.9%66 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c7…d64fbacked Tundra Esports17c220.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.097225%18 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed Tundra Esports45c213.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9317448.9%85 W · 89 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Team Yandex48c209.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.233644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Tundra Esports48c208.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Tundra Esports48c208.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.668257.3%47 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Tundra Esports50c200.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Tundra Esports12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2431126%81 W · 230 L-17.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Team Yandex52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9660251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Team Yandex52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9620043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked Team Yandex46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10824137.3%90 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Tundra Esports50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9880742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7f…6e16backed Tundra Esports50c199.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.582114.3%3 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-59%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Tundra Esports48c198.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6316550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Tundra Esports48c196.74$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9615452.6%81 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Team Yandex53c190.83$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.886155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb95…7e94backed Tundra Esports12c189.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.