Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x473c0617dc3f13ad3824359e3a9cb145b177ce1dcd47b1e040eaa2088eed7558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gamingof paiN Gaming, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,582 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 37,428$16,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,517.95 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 11,531$6,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,343.54 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 3c | 11,234$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.55 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed paiN Gaming | 47c | 9,752$4,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.06 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 8,964$4,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783.83 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 8,407$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.17 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed paiN Gaming | 62c | 7,858$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.96 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 7,737$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.57 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 6,194$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 5,917$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.17 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 5,668$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.77 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed paiN Gaming | 44c | 5,209$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.8 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 4,388$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.94 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked paiN Gaming | 17c | 3,783$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.99 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 3,629$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.31 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 2,818$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.32 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed paiN Gaming | 54c | 2,786$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.41 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 2,601$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.74 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 2,302$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.81 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,950$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.81 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,929$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.45 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,825$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.25 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,700$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked paiN Gaming | 41c | 1,604$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,500$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.1 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Gaming | 47c | 1,424$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.18 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Gaming | 41c | 1,288$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.85 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked paiN Gaming | 39c | 1,166$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.03 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,120$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,077$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,041$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed paiN Gaming | 40c | 1,008$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.4 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked paiN Gaming | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN Gaming | 73c | 998.78$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 954.81$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.24 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 799.95$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 640$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 638.18$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed paiN Gaming | 68c | 618.95$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed paiN Gaming | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed paiN Gaming | 43c | 554.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.35 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 540$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…7e25backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 521$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 504.52$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.31 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed paiN Gaming | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 498.23$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.87 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 492$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked paiN Gaming | 75c | 462.85$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 459.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 443.55$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.93 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 437.69$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed paiN Gaming | 49c | 432.65$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 421.74$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.6 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 410$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 403$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.39 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked paiN Gaming | 43c | 402.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.51 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…0468backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 401.64$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked paiN Gaming | 77c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 4c | 399.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 395.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 390.38$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…cc0bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 387.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 373.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 366.92$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed paiN Gaming | 74c | 361$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…63c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 357.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 323.25$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed paiN Gaming | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 294$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 293.38$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.82 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed paiN Gaming | 73c | 260.46$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed paiN Gaming | 42c | 254.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 232.52$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 221.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked paiN Gaming | 62c | 209.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 207.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked paiN Gaming | 55c | 182.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 177.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 155$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed paiN Gaming | 27c | 153.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 140.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed paiN Gaming | 39c | 129.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…bf95backed paiN Gaming | 51c | 128.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 259 | 53.3%138 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed paiN Gaming | 16c | 126.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 126.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked paiN Gaming | 48c | 121.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed paiN Gaming | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 116.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 116$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 110.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.