Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaafd8af6891847dcdabef249b31dbeb915c08b3200ae40222ca282195009cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof paiN Gaming, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,883 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed paiN Gaming | 42c | 51,034$21,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,624.39 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 15,077$10,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.55 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked paiN Gaming | 1c | 10,133$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked paiN Gaming | 23c | 10,036$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.5 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 8,558$6,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 6,849$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.06 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 5,920$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.35 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 5,020$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.23 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 4,928$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.78 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 4,859$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.88 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 4,133$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.11 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 4,094$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.43 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 3,997$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.2 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed paiN Gaming | 16c | 3,000$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.55 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 2,430$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.1 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN Gaming | 14c | 2,389$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.94 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 2,313$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.74 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 2,218$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.24 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked paiN Gaming | 23c | 2,132$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.67 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,402$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.6 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 1,250$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.46 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked paiN Gaming | 19c | 1,208$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed paiN Gaming | 43c | 1,198$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.22 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed paiN Gaming | 25c | 1,085$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.27 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked paiN Gaming | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked paiN Gaming | 46c | 874.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed paiN Gaming | 26c | 776.17$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.07 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 751.84$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.33 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 737.27$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.77 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 675.81$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.77 | 317 | 36%114 W · 203 L | -18.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 665.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 599.99$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.87 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed paiN Gaming | 14c | 559$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked paiN Gaming | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 427.62$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.79 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 366$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 358$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 350.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.57 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 327.58$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 320$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 300.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed paiN Gaming | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked paiN Gaming | 26c | 292.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed paiN Gaming | 22c | 275.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 499 | 52.9%264 W · 235 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 244.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked paiN Gaming | 15c | 229$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed paiN Gaming | 46c | 216.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 215.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked paiN Gaming | 18c | 201.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 198.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked paiN Gaming | 47c | 196.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 196.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed paiN Gaming | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 146$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 142.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 138$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed paiN Gaming | 43c | 134$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 131.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed paiN Gaming | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked paiN Gaming | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 128.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed paiN Gaming | 28c | 122.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN Gaming | 22c | 118.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 105.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 104.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed paiN Gaming | 51c | 98.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed paiN Gaming | 17c | 89.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 83.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 302 | 60.3%182 W · 120 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 79.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed paiN Gaming | 29c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 70.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked paiN Gaming | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…5b9cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 64.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 59.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 58.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…8a3fbacked paiN Gaming | 32c | 50.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed paiN Gaming | 27c | 50.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed paiN Gaming | 44c | 45.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 41.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked paiN Gaming | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 34.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…224cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 32.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed paiN Gaming | 44c | 26.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 20.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.