CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Betera Esports vs Leo Team (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9eddff65e91a1c6e17152148004ce19b6b7f5a1f2b00dc730758ab05ef253ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Betera Esports, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Leo Team | 63c | 3,518$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.02 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Betera Esports | 41c | 2,468$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.81 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Betera Esports | 44c | 1,645$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.98 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Leo Team | 38c | 1,539$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.31 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Betera Esports | 45c | 1,346$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…bee6backed Betera Esports | 66c | 848.85$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team | 37c | 759.86$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.07 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Betera Esports | 52c | 419.68$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Leo Team | 43c | 351.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…ba26backed Betera Esports | 68c | 327.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Leo Team | 40c | 248.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…fbacbacked Leo Team | 41c | 244.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…5820backed Betera Esports | 28c | 230$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Leo Team | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Betera Esports | 54c | 160.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Betera Esports | 33c | 150.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Betera Esports | 69c | 145.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Betera Esports | 42c | 139.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Betera Esports | 52c | 91.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…41d4backed Leo Team | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Betera Esports | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Leo Team | 41c | 73.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Leo Team | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Betera Esports | 64c | 64.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Betera Esports | 59c | 53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked Betera Esports | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Betera Esports | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Betera Esports | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Betera Esports | 50c | 40.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa8…4da9backed Betera Esports | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Leo Team | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Leo Team | 40c | 29.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…e977backed Betera Esports | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked Betera Esports | 64c | 20.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…1992backed Leo Team | 64c | 16.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.