Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd2f679e904b850842f94501061cba4e2e231689e2b31fe1b84e257d37ddaaf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Yakult Brothers, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,921 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Yakult Brothers | 61c | 9,835$5,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,972.5 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 32c | 6,313$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.78 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed REKONIX | 43c | 4,264$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.25 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 38c | 3,748$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.18 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked REKONIX | 40c | 3,201$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.32 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed REKONIX | 39c | 2,851$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.71 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked REKONIX | 27c | 2,455$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.32 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Yakult Brothers | 57c | 2,366$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.48 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…f619backed Yakult Brothers | 80c | 2,200$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 36c | 2,042$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakult Brothers | 65c | 1,979$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.01 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed REKONIX | 64c | 1,920$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.07 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed REKONIX | 26c | 1,747$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.66 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Yakult Brothers | 59c | 1,700$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 40c | 1,688$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.19 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yakult Brothers | 64c | 1,155$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.69 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed REKONIX | 35c | 1,114$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.99 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 38c | 1,048$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Yakult Brothers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed REKONIX | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed REKONIX | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.7 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed REKONIX | 54c | 942.61$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.11 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yakult Brothers | 72c | 921.99$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.18 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yakult Brothers | 60c | 813.87$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.39 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…610bbacked Yakult Brothers | 57c | 707.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed REKONIX | 26c | 700$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX | 54c | 652.31$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.76 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed REKONIX | 16c | 651.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.67 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Yakult Brothers | 78c | 649.57$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.24 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 619$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Yakult Brothers | 56c | 589.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.39 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed REKONIX | 36c | 559.45$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.31 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed REKONIX | 24c | 532.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.67 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 527.65$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.66 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 500.7$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed REKONIX | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Yakult Brothers | 22c | 479.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 478.67$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.2 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed REKONIX | 37c | 476.87$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.09 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed REKONIX | 14c | 470.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.05 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yakult Brothers | 70c | 466.77$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.77 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 45c | 442.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.17 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yakult Brothers | 58c | 423.91$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.91 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…fdfcbacked Yakult Brothers | 60c | 415.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed REKONIX | 49c | 409.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed REKONIX | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed REKONIX | 41c | 380$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed REKONIX | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed REKONIX | 47c | 365.48$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.36 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed REKONIX | 44c | 329.55$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 317.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yakult Brothers | 59c | 300$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 299.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Yakult Brothers | 25c | 289.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Yakult Brothers | 70c | 281.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed REKONIX | 51c | 280$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Yakult Brothers | 70c | 276.37$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.46 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked REKONIX | 28c | 270.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.79 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…4be9backed REKONIX | 29c | 260.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.97 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked REKONIX | 43c | 253.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked REKONIX | 45c | 240$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked REKONIX | 44c | 239.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Yakult Brothers | 66c | 227.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed REKONIX | 36c | 201.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.87 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Yakult Brothers | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Yakult Brothers | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked REKONIX | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Yakult Brothers | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed REKONIX | 11c | 193$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Yakult Brothers | 59c | 187.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Yakult Brothers | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…8181backed REKONIX | 37c | 175.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed REKONIX | 42c | 161.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed REKONIX | 43c | 151.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed REKONIX | 42c | 150.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yakult Brothers | 61c | 144.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed REKONIX | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked REKONIX | 41c | 126.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked REKONIX | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed REKONIX | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed Yakult Brothers | 78c | 115.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Yakult Brothers | 61c | 110.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Yakult Brothers | 59c | 105.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed REKONIX | 20c | 101.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 36c | 90.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 52c | 88.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Yakult Brothers | 57c | 88.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yakult Brothers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…e5d1backed REKONIX | 37c | 84.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 27c | 82.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 32c | 74.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed REKONIX | 42c | 73.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…26b9backed REKONIX | 46c | 66.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed REKONIX | 35c | 56.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerYakult Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.