Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a82f116600869cb34c25f0bec02b17be11b47a88bc1ba811ccee7a3b2a55d66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Yakult Brothers, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,633 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed REKONIX | 42c | 11,877$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Yakult Brothers | 78c | 7,597$5,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.7 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yakult Brothers | 56c | 5,481$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.7 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed REKONIX | 23c | 4,971$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.21 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 18c | 4,956$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.47 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked REKONIX | 34c | 4,256$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.23 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Yakult Brothers | 64c | 3,542$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.32 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 46c | 3,270$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yakult Brothers | 64c | 3,257$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.98 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakult Brothers | 64c | 2,947$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.83 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 2,670$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.8 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed REKONIX | 12c | 2,375$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.67 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…4dd1backed Yakult Brothers | 64c | 2,092$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Yakult Brothers | 64c | 1,631$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.77 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 40c | 1,209$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.92 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed REKONIX | 52c | 1,159$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 25c | 1,023$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.56 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Yakult Brothers | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 956$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.3 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 914.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.1 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed REKONIX | 25c | 876.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.04 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked REKONIX | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.22 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed REKONIX | 29c | 816.43$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.29 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Yakult Brothers | 74c | 778$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.27 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yakult Brothers | 59c | 767.87$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.87 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked REKONIX | 40c | 757$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed REKONIX | 40c | 752.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers | 54c | 715.07$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.07 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked REKONIX | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Yakult Brothers | 10c | 600$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked REKONIX | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 599.67$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.67 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed REKONIX | 17c | 584.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 24c | 575.72$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed REKONIX | 38c | 561.6$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 532.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.4 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed REKONIX | 37c | 530$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 509.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed Yakult Brothers | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +290.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Yakult Brothers | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked Yakult Brothers | 53c | 497.7$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Yakult Brothers | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked REKONIX | 50c | 455$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.06 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed REKONIX | 36c | 448.27$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yakult Brothers | 76c | 422.17$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…610bbacked Yakult Brothers | 57c | 401.33$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Yakult Brothers | 8c | 400$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 8cpaid | +405.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked REKONIX | 39c | 399.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.25 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked REKONIX | 45c | 399.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked REKONIX | 45c | 375$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 34c | 349.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed REKONIX | 45c | 331$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 329.37$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed REKONIX | 46c | 324.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Yakult Brothers | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed REKONIX | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Yakult Brothers | 55c | 300$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.48 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yakult Brothers | 66c | 290.1$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed REKONIX | 19c | 279.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed REKONIX | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked REKONIX | 38c | 236$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed REKONIX | 40c | 229.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed REKONIX | 46c | 225.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 215$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.37 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked REKONIX | 39c | 214.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed REKONIX | 47c | 213.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed REKONIX | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Yakult Brothers | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yakult Brothers | 54c | 183.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 46c | 179.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 75c | 178.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yakult Brothers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yakult Brothers | 61c | 176.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Yakult Brothers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed REKONIX | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yakult Brothers | 54c | 147.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed REKONIX | 45c | 146.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Yakult Brothers | 76c | 130.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked REKONIX | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 23c | 112.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed REKONIX | 46c | 107$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…128ebacked REKONIX | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 102.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Yakult Brothers | 53c | 102.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Yakult Brothers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Yakult Brothers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked REKONIX | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed REKONIX | 40c | 88.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked Yakult Brothers | 60c | 87.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 82.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Yakult Brothers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yakult Brothers | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Yakult Brothers | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…e5d1backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 74.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked REKONIX | 43c | 60.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.