Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7e1a7561e1866aa345c0be640df952e1d41decf0a5c4bb571f077142fed025d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 24c | 23,424$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes | 25c | 23,290$5,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,809.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 24c | 19,949$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.25 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed No | 76c | 16,199$12,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.9 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 74c | 7,852$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.12 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 76c | 5,449$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 74c | 5,296$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.9 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed No | 77c | 4,889$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.3 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 75c | 3,986$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.23 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked No | 76c | 3,773$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.49 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 76c | 3,419$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.43 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 25c | 2,981$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.42 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 26c | 2,684$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.9 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…a72fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,043$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 1,998$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.49 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 17c | 1,335$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 1,281$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.47 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 77c | 1,190$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…8ed8backed No | 76c | 1,035$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.44 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 1,028$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.12 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,021$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef8…7291backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…23d9backed No | 75c | 973$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Yes | 27c | 945.69$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked No | 74c | 913.91$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 768.94$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 79c | 732.9$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.97 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…de26backed No | 79c | 676.38$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 617.82$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.54 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed No | 73c | 549.97$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.95 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 71c | 499.73$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…6b74backed No | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 75c | 374.67$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…4b33backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…b48cbacked Yes | 25c | 260.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Yes | 29c | 259.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 77c | 251.48$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 76c | 249.45$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed No | 75c | 248$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d20bbacked Yes | 23c | 240$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 24c | 214.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed Yes | 23c | 199.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 198.39$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe506…6be0backed Yes | 14c | 197$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 22c | 177.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked No | 76c | 176.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 27c | 166.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 25c | 161.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 76c | 145.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…2937backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked Yes | 11c | 132$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…7700backed No | 79c | 126.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 22c | 125.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…79f3backed No | 75c | 103$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…b743backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…0315backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 98.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked No | 74c | 95.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 39c | 94.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 80c | 90.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 15c | 88.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +969.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed No | 75c | 82.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 74c | 76.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 72c | 76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…fe20backed No | 76c | 73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…ff0dbacked Yes | 23c | 67.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 25c | 66.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 59.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Yes | 27c | 55.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…f0e4backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296c…9e76backed No | 77c | 52.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…2ba4backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28cd…d99abacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22b…b3c3backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5ccfbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8680…3390backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54cc…7c9dbacked No | 78c | 48.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…95cdbacked Yes | 26c | 47.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…9c72backed Yes | 32c | 47.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f6…e7b2backed No | 77c | 35.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 66c | 34.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbd…d3fdbacked No | 76c | 31.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?this page
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?Yes won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in January?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.