TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sydney Thunderof Sydney Thunder, Brisbane Heat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,732

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x817b…3c25backed Brisbane Heat13c55,937$7,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,523.223537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Brisbane Heat10c12,774$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.7526130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked Brisbane Heat23c9,604$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16122552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Sydney Thunder53c6,560$3,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.321154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8192…6d78backed Sydney Thunder5c5,480$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2061100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Brisbane Heat50c5,250$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,622.511445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Brisbane Heat29c4,259$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.0876351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Brisbane Heat1c4,201$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.933698.7%32 W · 337 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Brisbane Heat33c3,069$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Brisbane Heat29c2,678$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.8533042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Brisbane Heat50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Sydney Thunder50c2,239$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.5228749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Brisbane Heat50c1,926$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9634348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Sydney Thunder66c1,360$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.1814852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e44…53d0backed Brisbane Heat14c1,246$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.425534.5%19 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Brisbane Heat28c961.07$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7312534.4%43 W · 82 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Sydney Thunder73c945.26$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9610953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Brisbane Heat33c757.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6718257.1%104 W · 78 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sydney Thunder50c743.6$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2260…ad28backed Brisbane Heat47c700$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed Sydney Thunder50c678.87$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.3932337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1318…be7bbacked Brisbane Heat3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+439.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Brisbane Heat37c540$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.83721.6%8 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Sydney Thunder50c469.32$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7467931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ff…9708backed Sydney Thunder53c411.86$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.682544%11 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x354d…eb8fbacked Brisbane Heat21c400$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831520%3 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Sydney Thunder73c351.56$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.519849%48 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe28…3c60backed Brisbane Heat16c328.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7819843.4%86 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0646…ad17backed Brisbane Heat16c249.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.532415.7%51 W · 273 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55cd…6951backed Brisbane Heat24c234.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572611.5%3 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-65.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Brisbane Heat32c231.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515451.3%79 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b12…8a30backed Brisbane Heat24c231.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Brisbane Heat23c201.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.321116.3%7 W · 104 L-18.9wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x60f5…d8aebacked Brisbane Heat26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Brisbane Heat51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x662e…7068backed Brisbane Heat26c199.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Brisbane Heat31c199.61$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.882867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Sydney Thunder55c188.46$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked Sydney Thunder49c185.81$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1232846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed76…c4c8backed Brisbane Heat28c181.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Brisbane Heat28c181.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506521.5%14 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5a2…62e6backed Sydney Thunder73c180.09$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf1…b75ebacked Brisbane Heat51c165.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.751118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-72.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0674…d6c1backed Brisbane Heat21c159.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.510045%45 W · 55 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45bc…978bbacked Sydney Thunder65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45e…605fbacked Sydney Thunder77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.374472.7%32 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Brisbane Heat47c139.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9814129.1%41 W · 100 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…be34backed Brisbane Heat29c129.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.655747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Sydney Thunder80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3483…4637backed Sydney Thunder53c113.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.578527.1%23 W · 62 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Sydney Thunder77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2315742.7%67 W · 90 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ce1…19f3backed Brisbane Heat30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Brisbane Heat52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d3…a515backed Brisbane Heat18c97.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Sydney Thunder68c96.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.422356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Brisbane Heat50c94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Brisbane Heat49c91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Brisbane Heat22c88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.362832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcac1…8e1dbacked Brisbane Heat13c83.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x553f…0483backed Brisbane Heat41c83.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.922157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Brisbane Heat48c74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4c…4489backed Brisbane Heat29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b8…b4bdbacked Brisbane Heat30c58.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.822941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd2…fcc4backed Brisbane Heat37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205437%20 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Brisbane Heat48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf062…7eb9backed Brisbane Heat50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262931%9 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3f1…bdc6backed Sydney Thunder77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd4…a6f6backed Brisbane Heat22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c56…daf8backed Brisbane Heat46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed Brisbane Heat36c44.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2127054.4%147 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x875e…e6b5backed Brisbane Heat32c39.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f7…a092backed Brisbane Heat35c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.650%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Brisbane Heat32c34.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9826930.5%82 W · 187 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Brisbane Heat48c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb961…0dffbacked Sydney Thunder52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.88966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Sydney Thunder51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4182…ae54backed Sydney Thunder51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa03a…3778backed Sydney Thunder76c26.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.382520%5 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b27…227ebacked Brisbane Heat40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104540%18 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Sydney Thunder52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Sydney Thunder51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.274100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe952…415bbacked Sydney Thunder46c22.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Brisbane Heat54c22.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a7…9215backed Sydney Thunder62c21.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.174847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Sydney Thunder52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c76…9700backed Brisbane Heat51c20.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…1008backed Sydney Thunder52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+68.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bab…e5ccbacked Sydney Thunder60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Sydney Thunder77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.965749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.